Sporting KC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.4% implied
Philadelphia Union50%12/24+17.9%Strongly above implied probability
Sporting KC62.5%15/24+47.4%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Philadelphia Union62.5%15/24+14.7%Strongly above implied probabilitySporting KC70.8%17/24+29.9%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Philadelphia Union58.3%14/24+8.4%Above implied probabilitySporting KC79.2%19/24+47.2%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.5% implied
Philadelphia Union58.3%14/24-2%Near implied probabilitySporting KC54.2%13/24-8.9%Near implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Philadelphia Union25%6/24-33.7%Below implied probabilitySporting KC54.2%13/24+43.8%Strongly above implied probabilityPhiladelphia Union2/24Sporting KC3/24Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Sporting KC and Philadelphia Union across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Sporting KC hit at 63% accuracy — that's 47.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Philadelphia Union sit 33.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia Union — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sporting KC vs Philadelphia Union. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Sporting KC–
Philadelphia Union–Winner
2 52%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Sporting KC–Philadelphia Union–Winner
2 52%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 69% | 31% |
| 19% | 81% | 46% | 54% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
36%
X-2
15%
1-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-1
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia Union — Prediction Form & Streaks
Philadelphia Union have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Sporting KC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Sporting KC well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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Philadelphia UnionSporting KC