Ferencvárosi vs Debrecen Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Brick wall

Ferencváros kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 23%).

6/10Clean sheets · Ferencváros
Bookmakers: Ferencváros 73% to winDebrecen 10%

Ferencváros vs Debrecen score prediction

NB I.

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Ferencváros expected to score more than twice as many as Debrecen

3.1 goals in total, a little over the NB I. average of 3.0.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Ferencváros vs Debrecen: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Ferencváros vs Debrecen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · NB I.

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ferencváros to win

Our model 57%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,738 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 223 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ferencváros ahead at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,968 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Ferencváros Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ferencváros 2+ goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,342 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Debrecen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen 0–1 goals

Our model 71%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,265 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Ferencváros vs Debrecen — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ferencváros vs Debrecen. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

FerencvárosFerencváros–
DebrecenDebrecen–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

157%
X21%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ferencváros16%84%42%58%
Debrecen39%61%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ferencváros70%30%87%13%
Debrecen90%10%97%3%

1st Half

140%
X36%
224%

1st Score

157%
X4%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

17%

2-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

11.1%

1-1

9.7%

1-0

8.7%

2-0

8.0%

3-1

6.3%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

6.0%

3-0

5.3%

0-1

4.5%

3-2

4.4%

0-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ferencváros vs Debrecen: the stats that stand out

NB I.

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Ferencváros: brick wall and hard to break · Debrecen: flop as favourites

Brick wall
Ferencváros6/10

Ferencváros kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 23%).

Hard to break
Ferencváros1/10

Ferencváros conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Flop as favourites
Debrecen2/7

Debrecen won only 2 of 7 as favourites (league 53%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Ferencváros vs Debrecen: attack vs defence

NB I.

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other NB I. teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • FerencvárosFerencváros: good attack, good defence (1.69 xG, 1.07 xGA a game)
  • DebrecenDebrecen: weak attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 1.87 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Ferencváros vs Debrecen form and luck check

NB I.

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 NB I. games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Ferencváros
    FerencvárosBookmakers: 73% to win today.
    +0.5
  • Debrecen
    DebrecenBookmakers: 10% to win today.
    −0.4

Last 5 matches

FerencvárosFerencváros
D
D
W
W
W
5th in table
DebrecenDebrecen
L
W
D
D
D
9th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Ferencváros 1st of 12 · Debrecen 7th of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Ferencváros vs Debrecen: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

NB I.

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 NB I. gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Ferencváros games less often than the NB I. average (59%), in Debrecen games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 59%
Ferencváros6 of 10
Debrecen6 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Ferencváros4 of 10
Debrecen7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 193 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Ferencváros vs Debrecen corners, cards and goal times

NB I.

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Debrecen score early

Ferencváros

Debrecen

4.8

Corners won · league 4.9

7.6

3.4

Corners conceded · league 4.9

5.1

1.8

Cards · league 2.3

3.0

2.9

Opponents' cards · league 2.3

3.1

43%

Goals before half-time · league 42%

69%

14%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

6%

50%

Conceded before half-time · league 42%

52%

0%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

29%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

FerencvárosFerencváros
2/5
DebrecenDebrecen
1/5

Both Teams to Score

FerencvárosFerencváros
3/5
DebrecenDebrecen
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

FerencvárosFerencváros
3/5
DebrecenDebrecen
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

FerencvárosFerencváros
4/5
DebrecenDebrecen
2/5

First Half Result

FerencvárosFerencváros
2/5
DebrecenDebrecen
2/5

Correct Score

FerencvárosFerencváros
1/5
DebrecenDebrecen
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores