Always chasing
9/10El Gounah conceded first in 9 of their last 10 (league 43%).
Al Ittihad vs El Gounah Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Riding their luck
Al Ittihad are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Al Ittihad 41% to winEl Gounah 24%
Al Ittihad vs El Gounah score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 1.9 goals expected
1.9 goals in total, a little under the Premier League average of 2.1.
goals expected
Al Ittihad1.0El Gounah0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Al Ittihad vs El Gounah: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Al Ittihad vs El Gounah — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Ittihad to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Ittihad vs El Gounah — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Ittihad vs El Gounah. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Al Ittihad–
El Gounah–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 77%
Al Ittihad–El Gounah–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 77%
Full Time
140%
X32%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 70% | 30% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 77% | 23% | 94% | 6% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 71% | 29% |
| 44% | 56% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
127%
X54%
219%
1st Score
149%
X15%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
25%
1-1
20%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
16.2%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Ittihad vs El Gounah: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%El Gounah: always chasing · Al Ittihad: brick wall and banker as favourites
9/10Brick wall
7/10Al Ittihad kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 32%).
Banker as favourites
4/6Al Ittihad won 4 of 6 as favourites (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Al Ittihad vs El Gounah: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Al Ittihad: weak attack, weak defence (1.10 xG, 1.25 xGA a game)
- El Gounah: weak attack, weak defence (1.12 xG, 1.18 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Al Ittihad vs El Gounah form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesAl Ittihad are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Al IttihadBookmakers: 41% to win today.+5.9
- El GounahBookmakers: 24% to win today.−2.9
Last 5 matches
Al IttihadW
W
W
L
D
El GounahL
L
L
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Al Ittihad 12th of 20 · El Gounah 15th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Al Ittihad vs El Gounah: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Al Ittihad games less often than the Premier League average (49%), in El Gounah games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Al Ittihad3 of 10
El Gounah3 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Al Ittihad2 of 10
El Gounah6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 274 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Al Ittihad vs El Gounah corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameEl Gounah score late
Al Ittihad
El Gounah
3.9
Corners won · league 4.5
4.4
6.4
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.8
2.1
Cards · league 2.0
1.7
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.3
33%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
25%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 28%
75%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
55%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 28%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al Ittihad1/5
El Gounah4/5
Both Teams to Score
Al Ittihad4/5
El Gounah2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Al Ittihad4/5
El Gounah4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Al Ittihad4/5
El Gounah5/5
First Half Result
Al Ittihad4/5
El Gounah3/5
Correct Score
Al Ittihad0/5
El Gounah2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction