Always on the scoresheet
1/10AFC Bournemouth failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Unlucky
AFC Bournemouth are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: AFC Bournemouth 24% to winManchester United 53%
Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Premier League game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Manchester United1.9AFC Bournemouth1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Manchester United to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 2,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 5,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 3,920 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Manchester United ahead at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 2,012 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Manchester United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Manchester United 2+ goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,785 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
AFC Bournemouth Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AFC Bournemouth 0–1 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Manchester United–
AFC Bournemouth–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Manchester United–AFC Bournemouth–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
151%
X25%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 39% | 61% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
140%
X38%
222%
1st Score
156%
X6%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
16%
X-X
13%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%AFC Bournemouth: always on the scoresheet
1/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Manchester United: good attack, good defence (1.95 xG, 1.27 xGA a game)
- AFC Bournemouth: good attack, good defence (1.53 xG, 1.21 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesAFC Bournemouth are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Manchester UnitedBookmakers: 53% to win today.−2.3
- AFC BournemouthBookmakers: 24% to win today.−4.1
Last 5 matches
Manchester UnitedD
D
L
D
W
AFC BournemouthL
L
D
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Manchester United 3rd of 20 · AFC Bournemouth 8th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Manchester United and AFC Bournemouth games more often than the Premier League average (57%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Manchester United5 of 10
AFC Bournemouth5 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Manchester United6 of 10
AFC Bournemouth7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAFC Bournemouth score early
Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth
6.0
Corners won · league 5.0
4.7
3.7
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.8
1.8
Cards · league 2.0
2.6
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.8
33%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
62%
28%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
8%
23%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
33%
38%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Manchester United2/5
AFC Bournemouth1/5
Both Teams to Score
Manchester United4/5
AFC Bournemouth4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Manchester United1/5
AFC Bournemouth2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Manchester United3/5
AFC Bournemouth2/5
First Half Result
Manchester United4/5
AFC Bournemouth3/5
Correct Score
Manchester United2/5
AFC Bournemouth1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction