Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Aston Villa vs Brentford — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Brentford to win
Our track record
In 2,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,240 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,631 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Aston Villa 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Brentford 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Aston Villa vs Brentford — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Aston Villa vs Brentford. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Aston Villa–
Brentford–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Aston Villa–Brentford–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 59% | 41% |
 | 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
19%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Aston Villa vs Brentford — Recent Form
Brentford have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
BrentfordAston VillaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Aston VillaBrentfordBoth Teams to Score
Aston VillaBrentfordOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Aston VillaBrentfordOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Aston VillaBrentfordFirst Half Result
Aston VillaBrentfordCorrect Score
Aston VillaBrentford