Brick wall
5/10Brighton & Hove Albion kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Unlucky
Crystal Palace are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Crystal Palace 19% to winBrighton & Hove Albion 59%
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Brighton & Hove Albion expected to create clearly more
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Premier League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Brighton & Hove Albion1.9
Crystal Palace1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 1,737 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Brighton & Hove Albion ahead at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 6,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Brighton & Hove Albion 2+ goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Crystal Palace Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crystal Palace 0–1 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Brighton & Hove Albion–
Crystal Palace–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Brighton & Hove Albion–Crystal Palace–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
155%
X24%
221%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
| 42% | 58% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
142%
X38%
220%
1st Score
160%
X6%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
17%
X-X
13%
2-2
12%
X-2
7%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Brighton & Hove Albion: brick wall · Crystal Palace: slow starters and shot-shy
5/10Slow starters
2/10Crystal Palace scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Shot-shy
4/10Crystal Palace failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Brighton & Hove Albion: good attack, good defence (1.91 xG, 1.10 xGA a game)
- Crystal Palace: weak attack, weak defence (1.33 xG, 1.68 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesCrystal Palace are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Brighton & Hove AlbionBookmakers: 59% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals−3.5
- Crystal PalaceBookmakers: 19% to win today.−4.0
Last 5 matches
Brighton & Hove AlbionW
W
D
L
W
Crystal PalaceD
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Brighton & Hove Albion 5th of 20 · Crystal Palace 17th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion games less often than the Premier League average (56%), in Crystal Palace games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Brighton & Hove Albion8 of 10
Crystal Palace8 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Brighton & Hove Albion3 of 10
Crystal Palace6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 360 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Premier League average
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
5.8
Corners won · league 5.0
2.9
4.1
Corners conceded · league 5.0
6.3
1.7
Cards · league 2.0
1.4
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.1
48%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
36%
22%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
27%
67%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
57%
17%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Crystal Palace2/5
Brighton & Hove Albion2/5
Both Teams to Score
Crystal Palace3/5
Brighton & Hove Albion1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Crystal Palace2/5
Brighton & Hove Albion4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Crystal Palace2/5
Brighton & Hove Albion2/5
First Half Result
Crystal Palace1/5
Brighton & Hove Albion1/5
Correct Score
Crystal Palace0/5
Brighton & Hove Albion0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction