Brick wall
7/10Arsenal kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Arsenal are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Arsenal 61% to winNottingham Forest 18%
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Arsenal expected to create clearly more
2.4 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Premier League average is 2.8).
goals expected
Nottingham Forest0.9Arsenal1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Arsenal to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 2,422 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 4,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 2,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Nottingham Forest Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Nottingham Forest 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 825 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).
Arsenal Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Arsenal 0–1 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 810 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Nottingham Forest–
Arsenal–Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Nottingham Forest–Arsenal–Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
121%
X25%
254%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45% | 55% | 78% | 22% |
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 78% | 23% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
120%
X44%
237%
1st Score
138%
X8%
254%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
X-X
17%
X-2
17%
1-1
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Arsenal: brick wall, banker as favourites and fast starters
7/10Banker as favourites
9/10Arsenal won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 49%).
Fast starters
8/10Arsenal scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Nottingham Forest: good attack, good defence (1.61 xG, 1.45 xGA a game)
- Arsenal: good attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 0.97 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesArsenal are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Nottingham ForestBookmakers: 18% to win today.−0.8
- ArsenalBookmakers: 61% to win today.+6.3
Last 5 matches
ArsenalL
W
W
W
W
Nottingham ForestL
W
D
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Nottingham Forest 10th of 20 · Arsenal 2nd of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Arsenal games less often than the Premier League average (56%), in Nottingham Forest games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Nottingham Forest5 of 10
Arsenal5 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Nottingham Forest6 of 10
Arsenal2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 360 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameArsenal score early
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
3.8
Corners won · league 5.0
4.5
4.7
Corners conceded · league 5.0
3.2
2.3
Cards · league 2.0
1.5
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.7
50%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
56%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
13%
9%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
60%
36%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Arsenal4/5
Nottingham Forest0/5
Both Teams to Score
Arsenal2/5
Nottingham Forest2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Arsenal4/5
Nottingham Forest4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Arsenal5/5
Nottingham Forest4/5
First Half Result
Arsenal1/5
Nottingham Forest4/5
Correct Score
Arsenal1/5
Nottingham Forest0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction