Flop as favourites
2/7Tottenham Hotspur won only 2 of 7 as favourites (league 49%).
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Wasteful
Tottenham Hotspur are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−6goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Tottenham Hotspur 65% to winCoventry City 15%
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Tottenham Hotspur expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the Premier League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Tottenham Hotspur1.6
Coventry City1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Tottenham Hotspur to win
Our model 48%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 5,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,155 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Tottenham Hotspur Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Tottenham Hotspur 0–1 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Coventry City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Coventry City 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 3,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Tottenham Hotspur–
Coventry City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Tottenham Hotspur–Coventry City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
148%
X25%
227%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 52% | 48% |
| 36% | 64% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 92% | 8% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
137%
X39%
223%
1st Score
154%
X6%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
16%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Tottenham Hotspur: flop as favourites, brick wall and shot-shy
2/7Brick wall
4/10Tottenham Hotspur kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Shot-shy
4/10Tottenham Hotspur failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Tottenham Hotspur: weak attack, good defence (1.41 xG, 1.23 xGA a game)
- Coventry City: weak attack, weak defence (1.02 xG, 1.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Tottenham HotspurBookmakers: 65% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−3.5
- Coventry CityBookmakers: 15% to win today. · 5 of 10 gamesWasteful · −3 goals−0.7
Last 5 matches
Coventry CityW
L
L
L
L
Tottenham HotspurL
D
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Tottenham Hotspur 16th of 20 · Coventry City 19th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Tottenham Hotspur and Coventry City games less often than the Premier League average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Tottenham Hotspur4 of 10
Coventry City2 of 5
BTTSleague 56%
Tottenham Hotspur4 of 10
Coventry City0 of 5
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 360 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameCoventry City: last 5 with these statsTottenham Hotspur score late
Tottenham Hotspur
Coventry City
7.3
Corners won · league 5.0
4.0
4.5
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.6
2.3
Cards · league 2.0
1.0
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.6
38%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
0%
38%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
0%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
40%
17%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
30%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Tottenham Hotspur1/5
Coventry City2/5
Both Teams to Score
Tottenham Hotspur1/5
Coventry City1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Tottenham Hotspur2/5
Coventry City3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Tottenham Hotspur4/5
Coventry City4/5
First Half Result
Tottenham Hotspur3/5
Coventry City3/5
Correct Score
Tottenham Hotspur0/5
Coventry City1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction