Brick wall
5/10Spartak Moskva kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva
2.8goals expected · Premier League average 2.5
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 43%
Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.8 goals expected
2.8 goals in total, a little over the Premier League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Krylya Sovetov1.1Spartak Moskva1.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Spartak Moskva to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,314 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 2,766 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 4,427 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 2,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Krylya Sovetov Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Krylya Sovetov 0–1 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 825 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).
Spartak Moskva Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Spartak Moskva 0–1 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 810 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Krylya Sovetov–
Spartak Moskva–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Krylya Sovetov–Spartak Moskva–Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
123%
X26%
251%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
118%
X43%
239%
1st Score
135%
X8%
257%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
X-2
19%
X-X
15%
1-1
10%
X-1
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Spartak Moskva: brick wall, hard to break and always on the scoresheet
5/10Hard to break
2/10Spartak Moskva conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Spartak Moskva failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Krylya Sovetov: good attack, weak defence (1.50 xG, 1.59 xGA a game)
- Spartak Moskva: good attack, good defence (1.55 xG, 0.97 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Krylya SovetovBookmakers: 19% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+2.0
- Spartak MoskvaBookmakers: 59% to win today.+1.3
Last 5 matches
Spartak MoskvaW
W
L
D
W
Krylya SovetovD
W
D
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Krylya Sovetov 13th of 16 · Spartak Moskva 3rd of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Krylya Sovetov games more often than the Premier League average (55%), in Spartak Moskva games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Krylya Sovetov6 of 10
Spartak Moskva6 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Krylya Sovetov7 of 10
Spartak Moskva5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 224 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moskva corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSpartak Moskva score late
Krylya Sovetov
Spartak Moskva
2.9
Corners won · league 4.6
6.5
4.6
Corners conceded · league 4.6
3.3
2.5
Cards · league 2.3
2.1
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
4.0
47%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
50%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
38%
53%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
86%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
0%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Krylya Sovetov1/5
Spartak Moskva3/5
Both Teams to Score
Krylya Sovetov1/5
Spartak Moskva3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Krylya Sovetov1/5
Spartak Moskva4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Krylya Sovetov3/5
Spartak Moskva5/5
First Half Result
Krylya Sovetov3/5
Spartak Moskva1/5
Correct Score
Krylya Sovetov0/5
Spartak Moskva1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction