Peñarol vs Boston River Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Peñarol vs Boston River — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 6 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
+3.1% Above implied probability
+54.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 48.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-17.7% Below implied probability
-8.6% Near implied probability
┊ 54.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+9.9% Above implied probability
+9.9% Above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+33.1% Strongly above implied probability
+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
-23.7% Below implied probability
+39.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 39.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Boston River across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Boston River hit at 75% accuracy — that's 54.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 48.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 23.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Peñarol vs Boston River — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Peñarol vs Boston River. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 52% | 48% | |
| 48% | 52% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% | |
| 96% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
22%
X-X
17%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
10.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Peñarol vs Boston River — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Boston River have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Boston River have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
