Peñarol vs Boston River Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Peñarol vs Boston River. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Peñarol vs Boston River — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 6 · Intermediate Round

Full-Time Result

PeñarolPeñarol
50%(10/20)

+3.1% Above implied probability

Boston RiverBoston River
75%(15/20)

+54.6% Strongly above implied probability

48.5% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

PeñarolPeñarol
45%(9/20)

-17.7% Below implied probability

Boston RiverBoston River
50%(10/20)

-8.6% Near implied probability

54.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PeñarolPeñarol
60%(12/20)

+9.9% Above implied probability

Boston RiverBoston River
60%(12/20)

+9.9% Above implied probability

54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PeñarolPeñarol
80%(16/20)

+33.1% Strongly above implied probability

Boston RiverBoston River
85%(17/20)

+41.4% Strongly above implied probability

60.1% Implied Probability

First Half Result

PeñarolPeñarol
30%(6/20)

-23.7% Below implied probability

Boston RiverBoston River
55%(11/20)

+39.9% Strongly above implied probability

39.3% Implied Probability

Correct Score

PeñarolPeñarol
10%(2/20)
Boston RiverBoston River
5%(1/20)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Boston River across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Boston River hit at 75% accuracy — that's 54.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 48.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 23.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Peñarol vs Boston River — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Peñarol vs Boston River. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

PeñarolPeñarol
Boston RiverBoston River

Winner

1 57%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

157%
X25%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Peñarol20%80%52%48%
Boston River48%52%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Peñarol79%21%93%7%
Boston River96%5%99%1%

1st Half

139%
X45%
215%

1st Score

162%
X9%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

22%

X-X

17%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.7%

1-1

11.8%

2-0

11.5%

2-1

10.2%

0-0

8.7%

0-1

7.0%

3-0

5.6%

3-1

5.1%

1-2

4.5%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Peñarol vs Boston River — Prediction Form & Streaks

Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Boston River have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Boston River have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
0 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
1 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
4 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
3 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
5 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
4 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
2 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
2 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
0 in a row

Peñarol & Boston River Teams in Best Form

PeñarolPeñarol
D
W
L
W
W
Boston RiverBoston River
L
W
L
W
L
Boston RiverBoston River
D
D
L
L
W
PeñarolPeñarol
W
D
L
D
L

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Peñarol vs Boston River Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips, Jul 18, 2026 | MyGameOdds