Nacional vs Atlético Progreso Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 7)
Nacional vs Progreso — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 7 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Nacional+13.4% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+23.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 48.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Nacional+0.5% Above implied probability
Progreso+0.5% Above implied probability
┊ 54.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Nacional-26.7% Below implied probability
Progreso+0.7% Above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Nacional+16.5% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Nacional+65.4% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+14.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 39.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
NacionalProgresoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Nacional and Progreso across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Nacional hit at 65% accuracy — that's 65.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 39.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Nacional sit 26.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Nacional vs Progreso — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Nacional vs Progreso. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Nacional–
Progreso–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Nacional–Progreso–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 50% | 50% |
| 55% | 45% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 92% | 8% |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
22%
X-X
15%
2-2
6%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Nacional vs Progreso — Prediction Form & Streaks
Nacional have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Nacional have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Nacional well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
NacionalProgresoBoth Teams To Score
NacionalProgresoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NacionalProgresoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NacionalProgresoFirst Half Result
NacionalProgresoCorrect Score
NacionalProgresoNacional & Progreso Teams in Best Form
NacionalNacionalProgresoProgreso