Peñarol vs Wanderers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026
Peñarol vs Wanderers — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026
Full-Time Result
45.8% implied
Wanderers36.4%8/22-20.5%Below implied probability
Peñarol54.5%12/22+19%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.6% implied
Wanderers50%11/22-8.4%Near implied probabilityPeñarol50%11/22-8.4%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.5% implied
Wanderers50%11/22-8.3%Near implied probabilityPeñarol54.5%12/220%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.6% implied
Wanderers86.4%19/22+42.6%Strongly above implied probabilityPeñarol81.8%18/22+35%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.7% implied
Wanderers40.9%9/22+5.7%Above implied probabilityPeñarol27.3%6/22-29.5%Below implied probabilityWanderers1/22Peñarol2/22Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Wanderers across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Wanderers hit at 86% accuracy — that's 42.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 29.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Peñarol vs Wanderers — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Peñarol vs Wanderers. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Peñarol–
Wanderers–Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Peñarol–Wanderers–Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 50% | 50% |
| 47% | 53% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 92% | 8% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
21%
X-X
18%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
10.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Peñarol vs Wanderers — Prediction Form & Streaks
Wanderers have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Peñarol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
WanderersPeñarolWanderersPeñarolWanderersPeñarolWanderersPeñarolWanderersPeñarolWanderersPeñarolPeñarol & Wanderers Teams in Best Form
WanderersPeñarol