Atlético Progreso vs Cerro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Progreso vs Cerro — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 6 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
Cerro48.1%13/27+14%Strongly above implied probability
Progreso59.3%16/27+40.5%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Cerro59.3%16/27+9%Above implied probabilityProgreso59.3%16/27+9%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.7% implied
Cerro63%17/27+17.3%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso63%17/27+17.3%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.2% implied
Cerro81.5%22/27+35.4%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso88.9%24/27+47.7%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Cerro63%17/27+67.1%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso44.4%12/27+17.8%Strongly above implied probabilityCerro4/27Progreso5/27Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Progreso and Cerro across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Cerro hit at 63% accuracy — that's 67.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
Progreso vs Cerro — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Progreso vs Cerro. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Progreso–
Cerro–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Progreso–Cerro–Winner
12 70%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 69% | 31% |
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
21%
1-1
19%
2-2
17%
X-1
16%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Progreso vs Cerro — Prediction Form & Streaks
Cerro have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Progreso have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
CerroProgresoCerroProgresoCerroProgresoCerroProgresoCerroProgresoCerroProgresoProgreso & Cerro Teams in Best Form
CerroProgreso