Grêmio vs São Paulo 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 22)
Grêmio vs São Paulo — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 22 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
43.1% implied
Grêmio63.6%14/22+47.6%Strongly above implied probability
São Paulo50%11/22+16%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Grêmio72.7%16/22+33.6%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo50%11/22-8.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54% implied
Grêmio54.5%12/22+0.9%Above implied probabilitySão Paulo63.6%14/22+17.8%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.7% implied
Grêmio86.4%19/22+42.3%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo86.4%19/22+42.3%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.1% implied
Grêmio54.5%12/22+43%Strongly above implied probabilitySão Paulo40.9%9/22+7.3%Above implied probabilityGrêmio4/22São Paulo4/22Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Grêmio and São Paulo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 64% accuracy — that's 47.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for São Paulo sit 8.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Grêmio vs São Paulo 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grêmio vs São Paulo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Grêmio2
São Paulo1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Grêmio2São Paulo1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
18%
X-X
17%
2-2
11%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Grêmio vs São Paulo — Prediction Form & Streaks
Grêmio have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. São Paulo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading São Paulo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
GrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmioSão PauloGrêmio & São Paulo Teams in Best Form
GrêmioSão Paulo