Botafogo vs Fluminense 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 22)

The match between Botafogo and Fluminense ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Botafogo win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Botafogo – Athletico PR prediction & betting tips (Aug 24, 2026).

Botafogo vs Fluminense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 22 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

43.5% implied

Fluminense47.8%11/23+9.9%Above implied probability
Botafogo50%11/22+14.9%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Fluminense56.5%13/23+3.9%Above implied probability
Botafogo45.5%10/22-16.4%Below implied probability
Fluminense39.1%9/23-27.6%Below implied probability
Botafogo31.8%7/22-41.1%Below implied probability
Fluminense73.9%17/23+21.1%Strongly above implied probability
Botafogo63.6%14/22+4.3%Above implied probability

First Half Result

38.3% implied

Fluminense34.8%8/23-9.1%Near implied probability
Botafogo31.8%7/22-17%Below implied probability
Fluminense17.4%4/23
Botafogo13.6%3/22

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Botafogo and Fluminense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Fluminense hit at 74% accuracy — that's 21.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 61%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Botafogo sit 41.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Botafogo vs Fluminense 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Botafogo vs Fluminense. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
BotafogoBotafogo1
FluminenseFluminense1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

143%
X29%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Botafogo28%72%64%36%
Fluminense40%60%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Botafogo86%14%96%4%
Fluminense92%8%98%2%

1st Half

135%
X44%
221%

1st Score

153%
X11%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

19%

X-1

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.3%

1-1

13.3%

0-0

11.1%

0-1

9.7%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.3%

1-2

6.4%

0-2

4.4%

2-2

4.2%

3-0

3.5%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Botafogo vs Fluminense — Prediction Form & Streaks

Botafogo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Fluminense have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Botafogo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
FluminenseFluminense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
FluminenseFluminense
1 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
FluminenseFluminense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
FluminenseFluminense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
5 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
FluminenseFluminense
1 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
FluminenseFluminense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
0 in a row

Botafogo & Fluminense Teams in Best Form

BotafogoBotafogo
L
D
W
D
W
FluminenseFluminense
W
D
D
D
D
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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