Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 23)
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 23 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
45.8% implied
Fluminense50%11/22+9.2%Above implied probability
Palmeiras45.5%10/22-0.7%Near implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Fluminense54.5%12/22+0.2%Above implied probabilityPalmeiras40.9%9/22-24.8%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.3% implied
Fluminense40.9%9/22-24.7%Below implied probabilityPalmeiras40.9%9/22-24.7%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.9% implied
Fluminense77.3%17/22+26.9%Strongly above implied probabilityPalmeiras77.3%17/22+26.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
Fluminense31.8%7/22-18.3%Below implied probabilityPalmeiras40.9%9/22+5.1%Above implied probabilityFluminense4/22Palmeiras4/22Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Fluminense and Palmeiras across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Fluminense hit at 77% accuracy — that's 26.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Palmeiras sit 24.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fluminense vs Palmeiras. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fluminense–
Palmeiras–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Fluminense–Palmeiras–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| 29% | 71% | 63% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
18%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — Prediction Form & Streaks
Palmeiras have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Fluminense have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Fluminense well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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