São Paulo vs Coritiba Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 23)
São Paulo vs Coritiba — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 23 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
45.8% implied
São Paulo52.4%11/21+14.4%Strongly above implied probability
Coritiba40.9%9/22-10.7%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
São Paulo52.4%11/21-3.7%Near implied probabilityCoritiba59.1%13/22+8.6%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.3% implied
São Paulo61.9%13/21+14%Strongly above implied probabilityCoritiba54.5%12/22+0.4%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.9% implied
São Paulo85.7%18/21+40.7%Strongly above implied probabilityCoritiba72.7%16/22+19.4%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
São Paulo38.1%8/21-2.1%Near implied probabilityCoritiba40.9%9/22+5.1%Above implied probabilitySão Paulo4/21Coritiba3/22Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for São Paulo and Coritiba across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for São Paulo hit at 86% accuracy — that's 40.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Coritiba sit 10.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
São Paulo vs Coritiba — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for São Paulo vs Coritiba. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
São Paulo–
Coritiba–Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
São Paulo–Coritiba–Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 47% | 53% |
| 51% | 49% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
7%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
10.6%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
São Paulo vs Coritiba — Prediction Form & Streaks
Coritiba have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. São Paulo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading São Paulo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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