Chapecoense vs Bahia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 23)
Chapecoense vs Bahia — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 23 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
45.8% implied
Bahia22.7%5/22-50.4%Below implied probability
Chapecoense52.4%11/21+14.4%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Bahia63.6%14/22+16.9%Strongly above implied probabilityChapecoense66.7%14/21+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.3% implied
Bahia45.5%10/22-16.2%Below implied probabilityChapecoense52.4%11/21-3.5%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.9% implied
Bahia81.8%18/22+34.3%Strongly above implied probabilityChapecoense66.7%14/21+9.5%Above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
Bahia40.9%9/22+5.1%Above implied probabilityChapecoense57.1%12/21+46.8%Strongly above implied probabilityBahia2/22Chapecoense3/21Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Chapecoense and Bahia across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Chapecoense hit at 57% accuracy — that's 46.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Bahia sit 50.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Chapecoense vs Bahia — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Chapecoense vs Bahia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Chapecoense–
Bahia–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Chapecoense–Bahia–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
20%
1-1
18%
X-X
17%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Chapecoense vs Bahia — Prediction Form & Streaks
Bahia have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Chapecoense have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Bahia well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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BahiaChapecoense