Vasco da Gama vs Santos Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 23)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Vasco da Gama vs Santos. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Vasco da Gama vs Santos — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 23 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

45.8% implied

Vasco da Gama42.9%9/21-6.3%Near implied probability
Santos47.6%10/21+3.9%Above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Vasco da Gama38.1%8/21-30%Below implied probability
Santos47.6%10/21-12.5%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.3% implied

Vasco da Gama47.6%10/21-12.3%Below implied probability
Santos57.1%12/21+5.2%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.9% implied

Vasco da Gama81%17/21+33%Strongly above implied probability
Santos61.9%13/21+1.6%Above implied probability

First Half Result

38.9% implied

Vasco da Gama38.1%8/21-2.1%Near implied probability
Santos42.9%9/21+10.3%Strongly above implied probability
Vasco da Gama19%4/21
Santos4.8%1/21

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Vasco da Gama and Santos across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Vasco da Gama hit at 81% accuracy — that's 33% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Vasco da Gama sit 30% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Vasco da Gama vs Santos — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Vasco da Gama vs Santos. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
SantosSantos

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

145%
X27%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%37%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vasco da Gama24%76%58%42%
Santos35%65%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vasco da Gama82%18%94%6%
Santos90%10%97%3%

1st Half

132%
X43%
225%

1st Score

152%
X7%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

16%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

10.8%

2-1

9.7%

0-1

8.2%

2-0

7.6%

0-0

7.5%

1-2

7.2%

2-2

5.3%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vasco da Gama vs Santos — Prediction Form & Streaks

Santos have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table. Vasco da Gama have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Vasco da Gama well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
SantosSantos
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
SantosSantos
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
3 in a row
SantosSantos
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
5 in a row
SantosSantos
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
1 in a row
SantosSantos
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
SantosSantos
0 in a row

Vasco da Gama & Santos Teams in Best Form

SantosSantos
L
D
L
W
L
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
D
D
L
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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