Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 28)
Grêmio vs Palmeiras — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 28 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
Grêmio68%17/25+61.1%Strongly above implied probability
Palmeiras42.3%11/26+0.2%Above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Grêmio72%18/25+32.1%Strongly above implied probabilityPalmeiras38.5%10/26-29.4%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Grêmio56%14/25+4.1%Above implied probabilityPalmeiras42.3%11/26-21.4%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.9% implied
Grêmio84%21/25+40.2%Strongly above implied probabilityPalmeiras73.1%19/26+22%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Grêmio56%14/25+48.5%Strongly above implied probabilityPalmeiras50%13/26+32.6%Strongly above implied probabilityGrêmio6/25Palmeiras5/26Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Grêmio and Palmeiras across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 68% accuracy — that's 61.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Palmeiras sit 29.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Grêmio vs Palmeiras — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Grêmio vs Palmeiras. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Grêmio–
Palmeiras–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Grêmio–Palmeiras–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
20%
1-1
16%
X-2
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Grêmio vs Palmeiras — Prediction Form & Streaks
Palmeiras have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Grêmio have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Grêmio well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
GrêmioPalmeirasGrêmioPalmeirasGrêmioPalmeirasGrêmioPalmeirasGrêmioPalmeirasGrêmioPalmeirasGrêmio & Palmeiras Teams in Best Form
PalmeirasGrêmio