Napoli vs Bologna 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

The match between Napoli and Bologna ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Napoli win with 51% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Napoli vs Bologna — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 4 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

42.6% implied

Napoli75%3/4+76.1%Strongly above implied probability
Bologna40%2/5-6.1%Near implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.5% implied

Napoli50%2/4-8.3%Near implied probability
Bologna60%3/5+10.1%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.8% implied

Napoli50%2/4-7.1%Near implied probability
Bologna40%2/5-25.7%Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.2% implied

Napoli75%3/4+26.7%Strongly above implied probability
Bologna80%4/5+35.1%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Napoli75%3/4+99.5%Strongly above implied probability
Bologna60%3/5+59.6%Strongly above implied probability
Napoli25%1/4
Bologna40%2/5

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Napoli and Bologna across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Napoli hit at 75% accuracy — that's 99.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Bologna sit 25.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Napoli vs Bologna 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Napoli vs Bologna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
NapoliNapoli1
BolognaBologna0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

151%
X24%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Napoli21%79%52%48%
Bologna40%60%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Napoli77%23%92%8%
Bologna91%9%97%3%

1st Half

140%
X41%
219%

1st Score

159%
X7%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.2%

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.6%

0-0

6.9%

0-1

6.7%

1-2

6.3%

3-1

5.4%

2-2

5.2%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

3.5%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Napoli vs Bologna — Prediction Form & Streaks

Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Bologna have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
NapoliNapoli
2 in a row
BolognaBologna
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
NapoliNapoli
0 in a row
BolognaBologna
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
NapoliNapoli
0 in a row
BolognaBologna
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
NapoliNapoli
1 in a row
BolognaBologna
2 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
NapoliNapoli
2 in a row
BolognaBologna
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
NapoliNapoli
1 in a row
BolognaBologna
2 in a row

Napoli & Bologna Teams in Best Form

NapoliNapoli
D
W
L
L
W
BolognaBologna
D
L
D
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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