Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Fiorentina vs Napoli — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 5 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.8% implied
Fiorentina25%1/4-41.6%Below implied probability
Napoli75%3/4+75.2%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Fiorentina25%1/4-54%Below implied probabilityNapoli50%2/4-8.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Fiorentina50%2/4-7.1%Near implied probabilityNapoli50%2/4-7.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.3% implied
Fiorentina50%2/4-15.7%Below implied probabilityNapoli75%3/4+26.5%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Fiorentina25%1/4-33.7%Below implied probabilityNapoli75%3/4+98.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFiorentina0/4Napoli1/4Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Fiorentina and Napoli across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Napoli hit at 75% accuracy — that's 98.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Fiorentina sit 54% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Fiorentina vs Napoli — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fiorentina vs Napoli. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fiorentina–
Napoli–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Fiorentina–Napoli–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
18%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fiorentina vs Napoli — Prediction Form & Streaks
Napoli have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Fiorentina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
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