Always on the scoresheet
1/10Atromitos failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 31%).
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Unlucky
Atromitos are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Atromitos 32% to winAsteras Tripolis 39%
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.4 goals in total, a little under the Super League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Asteras Tripolis1.2Atromitos1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atromitos to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 32%
Our track record
In 1,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 5,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 3,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 4,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Asteras Tripolis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Asteras Tripolis 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,625 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Atromitos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atromitos 0–1 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Asteras Tripolis–
Atromitos–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Asteras Tripolis–Atromitos–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
134%
X29%
238%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 90% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
126%
X48%
226%
1st Score
145%
X10%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
20%
1-1
19%
2-2
18%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Atromitos: always on the scoresheet and fast starters
1/10Fast starters
6/10Atromitos scored first in 6 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: attack vs defence
Super League
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Asteras Tripolis: good attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.42 xGA a game)
- Atromitos: weak attack, weak defence (1.24 xG, 1.47 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesAtromitos are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Asteras TripolisBookmakers: 39% to win today.−0.6
- AtromitosBookmakers: 32% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals−4.4
Last 5 matches
AtromitosL
D
D
L
L
Asteras TripolisD
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Asteras Tripolis 10th of 14 · Atromitos 6th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos games more often than the Super League average (48%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Asteras Tripolis4 of 10
Atromitos7 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Asteras Tripolis6 of 10
Atromitos7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 230 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos corners, cards and goal times
Super League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAsteras Tripolis score early
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
5.9
Corners won · league 4.4
4.3
4.0
Corners conceded · league 4.4
4.4
2.8
Cards · league 2.6
2.3
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.6
2.6
58%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
53%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
29%
46%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
40%
31%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
13%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Asteras Tripolis2/4
Atromitos1/4
Both Teams to Score
Asteras Tripolis1/4
Atromitos4/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Asteras Tripolis2/4
Atromitos3/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Asteras Tripolis2/4
Atromitos4/4
First Half Result
Asteras Tripolis1/4
Atromitos2/4
Correct Score
Asteras Tripolis0/4
Atromitos2/4
correct predictionwrong prediction