St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
1–0
On these chances St. Gallen would usually take 2.2 points and Lausanne Sport 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: St. Gallen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
St. Gallen
Lausanne Sport
5
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
0
6
Corners
8
3
Yellow cards
4
42%
Possession
58%
St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
St. Gallen to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 235 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.0% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: St. Gallen ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,188 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
St. Gallen 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: St. Gallen 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Lausanne Sport 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% | |
| 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% | |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport — Recent Form
St. Gallen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Lausanne Sport have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score