St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result
St. GallenSt. Gallen

1–0

Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
2.1Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances St. Gallen would usually take 2.2 points and Lausanne Sport 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: St. Gallen.

St. Gallen +0.8 pts vs chancesLausanne Sport −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

St. Gallen

Lausanne Sport

5

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

0

6

Corners

8

3

Yellow cards

4

42%

Possession

58%

The match between St. Gallen and Lausanne Sport ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a St. Gallen win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Gallen to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 235 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.0% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: St. Gallen ahead at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,188 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

St. Gallen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Gallen 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: St. Gallen 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 1,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.

Lausanne Sport Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lausanne Sport 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
St. GallenSt. Gallen1
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

145%
X24%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
St. Gallen22%78%51%49%
Lausanne Sport31%69%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
St. Gallen75%25%90%10%
Lausanne Sport84%16%94%6%

1st Half

134%
X38%
229%

1st Score

148%
X5%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.3%

2-1

9.3%

1-2

7.6%

1-0

7.3%

2-2

6.4%

2-0

6.3%

0-1

5.8%

3-1

5.2%

0-0

4.7%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

3.9%

3-2

3.9%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

St. Gallen vs Lausanne Sport — Recent Form

St. Gallen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Lausanne Sport have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

St. GallenSt. Gallen
W
W
L
L
W
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
L
L
L
L
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

St. GallenSt. Gallen
3/5
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
4/5

Both Teams to Score

St. GallenSt. Gallen
2/5
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

St. GallenSt. Gallen
3/5
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

St. GallenSt. Gallen
3/5
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
3/5

First Half Result

St. GallenSt. Gallen
2/5
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
3/5

Correct Score

St. GallenSt. Gallen
0/5
Lausanne SportLausanne Sport
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction

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