Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Alanyaspor are taking more points than their chances usually bring
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor score prediction
Super Lig
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Alanyaspor expected to create clearly more
2.4 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Super Lig average is 2.7).
goals expected
Alanyaspor1.5
BB Erzurumspor0.9How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Alanyaspor to win
Our track record
In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 4,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Alanyaspor 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
BB Erzurumspor 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Alanyaspor–
BB Erzurumspor–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Alanyaspor–BB Erzurumspor–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 59% | 41% |
| 41% | 59% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
18%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor: the stats that stand out
Super Lig
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Alanyaspor: hard to break and always on the scoresheet
2/10
Hard to breakAlanyaspor conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
1/10
Always on the scoresheetAlanyaspor failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super Lig
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent games in the Super LigBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in BB Erzurumspor games less often than the Super Lig average (53%), in Alanyaspor games more often.
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 294 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor form and luck check
Super Lig
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4 points)outside the normal range← fewer points · more points →Alanyaspor are taking more points than their chances usually bring
AlanyasporRiding their luckAlanyaspor got 4 points more than their chances usually bring.
ClinicalAlanyaspor scored 3 goals more than their chances (xG). 80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: 48% to win today.
BB ErzurumsporBased on the 6 of their last 10 games that have xG data.
BB Erzurumspor: results in line with their chances.
Bookmakers: 24% to win today.
Last 5 matches
AlanyasporBB ErzurumsporStrength rank: Alanyaspor 9th of 18 · BB Erzurumspor 16th of 18
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor corners, cards and goal times
Super Lig
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBB Erzurumspor: last 6 with these statsGoal times close to the Super Lig average
Alanyaspor
BB Erzurumspor
5.7
Corners won · league 4.7
3.2
3.7
Corners conceded · league 4.7
4.5
1.6
Cards · league 2.3
1.3
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.2
36%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
67%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
0%
42%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
45%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
18%
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AlanyasporBB ErzurumsporBoth Teams to Score
AlanyasporBB ErzurumsporOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AlanyasporBB ErzurumsporOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AlanyasporBB ErzurumsporFirst Half Result
AlanyasporBB ErzurumsporCorrect Score
AlanyasporBB Erzurumspor