Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Alanyaspor are taking more points than their chances usually bring
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor score prediction
Super Lig
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super Lig game (average 2.7).
goals expected
Fenerbahçe2.2
Alanyaspor0.9How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fenerbahçe–
Alanyaspor–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Fenerbahçe–Alanyaspor–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 51% | 49% |
| 53% | 47% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: the stats that stand out
Super Lig
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Fenerbahçe: hard to break · Alanyaspor: always on the scoresheet
2/10
Hard to breakFenerbahçe conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
1/10
Always on the scoresheetAlanyaspor failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super Lig
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 in the Super LigBTTS = both teams scoredFenerbahçe and Alanyaspor games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Super Lig average (54%).
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 294 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor form and luck check
Super Lig
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4 points)outside the normal range← fewer points · more points →Alanyaspor are taking more points than their chances usually bring
FenerbahçeFenerbahçe: results in line with their chances.
AlanyasporRiding their luckAlanyaspor got 4 points more than their chances usually bring.
ClinicalAlanyaspor scored 3 goals more than their chances (xG). 80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Last 5 matches
AlanyasporFenerbahçeStrength rank: Fenerbahçe 2nd of 18 · Alanyaspor 9th of 18
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor corners, cards and goal times
Super Lig
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Super Lig average
Fenerbahçe
Alanyaspor
6.3
Corners won · league 4.7
5.7
3.8
Corners conceded · league 4.7
3.7
2.5
Cards · league 2.3
1.6
2.5
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.2
52%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
36%
12%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
21%
54%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
42%
23%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
25%
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FenerbahçeAlanyasporBoth Teams to Score
FenerbahçeAlanyasporOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAlanyasporOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAlanyasporFirst Half Result
FenerbahçeAlanyasporCorrect Score
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor