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Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 3)

The match between Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Independiente win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente – Instituto prediction & betting tips (Oct 2, 2026).

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Independiente1

Vélez Sarsfield1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Independiente1

Vélez Sarsfield1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

146%

X28%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	37%	63%	65%	35%	73%	27%	92%	8%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	37%	63%	65%	35%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	73%	27%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	65%	35%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	44%	56%	79%	21%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	65%	35%
	44%	56%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

134%

X48%

218%

1st Score

154%

X12%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

15.6%

1-1

13.0%

0-0

11.7%

0-1

10.2%

2-0

9.5%

2-1

8.5%

1-2

5.7%

0-2

4.6%

3-0

3.6%

3-1

3.5%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score