Superliga Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Superliga match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 10 October 2026.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 12 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

46%

Both Teams To Score

38%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

76%

First Half Result

47%

Correct Score

14%

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 46%, BTTS 38%, Over/Under 2.5 52%, Over/Under 3.5 76%, correct score 14%.

Superliga stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 515 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Tight and cageyDraws aplentyCard-heavy

Goals a match

2.09

61st of 63

xG a match

2.58

51st of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

8.79

57th of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

5.15

4th of 63

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Superliga: the stats that stand out

The Superliga teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Fast starters
Instituto9/10

Instituto scored first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 44%).

Goal-fests
Unión Santa Fe8/10

Unión Santa Fe games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 36%).

Always chasing
Central Cordoba SdE8/10

Central Cordoba SdE conceded first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 44%).

Always on the scoresheet
Boca Juniors0/10

Boca Juniors scored in all of their last 10 (league 34% fail to score).

Goals at both ends
Gimnasia La Plata8/10

Gimnasia La Plata: both teams scored in 8 of their last 10 (league 45%).

Banker as favourites
Independiente Rivadavia5/6

Independiente Rivadavia won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 43%).

Leaky
Racing Club1/10

Racing Club kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 34%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Liga Profesional de Fútbol Argentina

Free predictions for today's Superliga matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT
Unión Santa FeUnión Santa Fe0
Defensa y JusticiaDefensa y Justicia2

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

149%
X27%
225%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Unión Santa Fe23%77%57%43%
Defensa y Justicia40%60%75%25%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT55%45%67%33%

Correct Score

1-0

13.0%

1-1

12.8%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.9%

0-0

8.5%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

6.6%

Barracas CentralBarracas Central–
HuracánHuracán–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 63%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 78%

Central Cordoba SdECentral Cordoba SdE–
EstudiantesEstudiantes–

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

TigreTigre–
BanfieldBanfield–

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

River PlateRiver Plate–
Estudiantes de Río CuartoEstudiantes de Río Cuarto–

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo–
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Rosario CentralRosario Central–
Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

PlatensePlatense–
Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Juniors–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Racing ClubRacing Club–
BelgranoBelgrano–

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Talleres CórdobaTalleres Córdoba–
IndependienteIndependiente–

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

LanúsLanús–
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–
Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

SarmientoSarmiento–
River PlateRiver Plate–

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

HuracánHuracán–
Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Defensa y JusticiaDefensa y Justicia–
InstitutoInstituto–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors–
Talleres CórdobaTalleres Córdoba–

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

BanfieldBanfield–
Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Juniors–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia–
TigreTigre–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

PlatensePlatense–
LanúsLanús–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán–
Rosario CentralRosario Central–

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield–
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Racing ClubRacing Club–
IndependienteIndependiente–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Estudiantes de Río CuartoEstudiantes de Río Cuarto–
AldosiviAldosivi–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

EstudiantesEstudiantes–
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo–

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 64%

Correct Score

1-0 19%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

BelgranoBelgrano–
River PlateRiver Plate–

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

SarmientoSarmiento–
Barracas CentralBarracas Central–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys–
Central Cordoba SdECentral Cordoba SdE–

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

1-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra–
Unión Santa FeUnión Santa Fe–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza–
PlatensePlatense–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata–
SarmientoSarmiento–

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Superliga xG: chances created and allowed

Every Superliga team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsSuperliga average · 1.40 xG, 1.40 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 30
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Superliga Results vs the Odds

Season 2026 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Superliga this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
◀ fewer −30 odds expected+30 more ▶

Home wins

42.4%

Season (422) · 42.4% vs 42.2%Normal range
30 days (47) · 40.4% vs 43.5%Normal range

Draws

30.3%

Season (422) · 30.3% vs 31.2%Normal range
30 days (47) · 31.9% vs 30.3%Normal range

Away wins

27.3%

Season (422) · 27.3% vs 26.6%Normal range
30 days (47) · 27.7% vs 26.2%Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

37.7%

Season (422) · 37.7% vs 33.5%Normal range
30 days (47) · 57.4% vs 36.7%More than expected

Both teams scored

47.2%

Season (422) · 47.2% vs 40.0%More than expected
30 days (47) · 68.1% vs 42.0%More than expected
Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

15.9%

Season (422) · 15.9% vs 15.3%Normal range
30 days (47) · 25.5% vs 17.4%Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

30.8%

Season (422) · 30.8% vs 30.2%Normal range
30 days (47) · 36.2% vs 31.6%Normal range

Level at half-time

48.6%

Season (422) · 48.6% vs 49.1%Normal range
30 days (47) · 44.7% vs 47.6%Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

20.6%

Season (422) · 20.6% vs 20.7%Normal range
30 days (47) · 19.1% vs 20.8%Normal range

Home team scored 2+

34.4%

Season (422) · 34.4% vs 32.4%Normal range
30 days (47) · 44.7% vs 35.4%Normal range

Away team scored 2+

23.0%

Season (422) · 23.0% vs 21.2%Normal range
30 days (47) · 31.9% vs 22.2%Normal range

Outside the normal range this season: Both teams scored 47.2% vs 40.0% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 380).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Superliga, season 2026: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason42242.4%42.2%+0.2±4.6Normal range
Home wins30 days4740.4%43.5%−3.1±13.7Normal range
DrawsSeason42230.3%31.2%−0.9±4.4Normal range
Draws30 days4731.9%30.3%+1.6±13.1Normal range
Away winsSeason42227.3%26.6%+0.7±4.1Normal range
Away wins30 days4727.7%26.2%+1.5±12.2Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason42237.7%33.5%+4.1±4.5Normal range
Over 2.5 goals30 days4757.4%36.7%+20.7±13.7More than expected
Both teams scoredSeason42247.2%40.0%+7.1±4.7More than expected
Both teams scored30 days4768.1%42.0%+26.1±14.1More than expected
Over 3.5 goalsSeason42215.9%15.3%+0.6±3.4Normal range
Over 3.5 goals30 days4725.5%17.4%+8.1±10.8Normal range
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason42230.8%30.2%+0.6±4.3Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time30 days4736.2%31.6%+4.6±13.1Normal range
Level at half-timeSeason42248.6%49.1%−0.5±4.8Normal range
Level at half-time30 days4744.7%47.6%−2.9±14.3Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason42220.6%20.7%0.0±3.8Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time30 days4719.1%20.8%−1.7±11.4Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season42234.4%32.4%+2.0±4.4Normal range
Home team scored 2+30 days4744.7%35.4%+9.3±13.3Normal range
Away team scored 2+Season42223.0%21.2%+1.8±3.8Normal range
Away team scored 2+30 days4731.9%22.2%+9.7±11.7Normal range

Superliga luck check: the last 10 games

Superliga teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.9 = 8 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck5

  • Sarmiento
    SarmientoClinical · +7 goals
    +7.9
  • Vélez Sarsfield
    Vélez SarsfieldClinical · +6 goals
    +5.9
  • Defensa y Justicia
    Defensa y Justicia9 of 10 games
    +5.5
  • Instituto
    InstitutoClinical · +5 goals
    +4.4
  • Newell's Old Boys
    Newell's Old BoysClinical · +4 goals
    +4.3

Unlucky7

  • River Plate
    River PlateWasteful · −4 goals
    −7.6
  • Racing Club
    Racing Club
    −6.1
  • Deportivo Riestra
    Deportivo Riestra
    −5.7
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
    −5.7
  • Estudiantes
    EstudiantesWasteful · −4 goals
    −5.1
  • Talleres Córdoba
    Talleres Córdoba
    −4.3
  • Aldosivi
    Aldosivi
    −4.2

Points in line, but wasteful: San Lorenzo (−5 goals), Belgrano (−4). Clinical: Unión Santa Fe (+5, 9 games).

In line with their chances: Rosario Central, Huracán, Boca Juniors, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, Argentinos Juniors, Independiente Rivadavia, Gimnasia La Plata, Tigre, Lanús, Independiente, Barracas Central, Atlético Tucumán, Platense, Central Cordoba SdE and Banfield.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Superliga last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 3–Oct 10 · 15 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Superliga Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

Group A

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
InstitutoInstituto
122682219:10+9
D
W
W
W
L
2
Defensa y JusticiaDefensa y Justicia
122473218:11+7
W
W
D
W
L
3
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
122156119:13+6
D
W
W
W
D
4
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield
112156017:11+6
D
W
D
W
D
5
LanúsLanús
111752413:9+4
D
W
W
W
L
8th Finals
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Superliga

The league profile compares Superliga with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

The Argentine Primera División, also known as Liga Profesional, is the top football competition in Argentina with 28 teams. The season is divided into two tournaments – Apertura and Clausura – where each team plays 27 matches. Top clubs fight for continental qualification, while relegation threatens those at the bottom. Known for its legendary derbies and unpredictable outcomes, it’s a prime league for betting.

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