Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Independiente vs San Lorenzo — Liga Profesional de Fútbol Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 9 · 2nd Phase
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
San Lorenzo26.1%6/23-38.2%Below implied probability
Independiente29.2%7/24-30.8%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
San Lorenzo69.6%16/23+27.9%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente41.7%10/24-23.3%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
San Lorenzo82.6%19/23+53.2%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente62.5%15/24+16%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.4% implied
San Lorenzo87%20/23+44%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente79.2%19/24+31.1%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
San Lorenzo52.2%12/23+38.5%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente54.2%13/24+43.8%Strongly above implied probabilitySan Lorenzo4/23Independiente2/24Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Independiente and San Lorenzo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for San Lorenzo hit at 83% accuracy — that's 53.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for San Lorenzo sit 38.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Independiente vs San Lorenzo — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Independiente vs San Lorenzo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Independiente–
San Lorenzo–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Independiente–San Lorenzo–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 73% | 27% | 92% | 8% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 60% | 40% |
| 50% | 50% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-X
21%
X-1
18%
2-2
9%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
16.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Independiente vs San Lorenzo — Prediction Form & Streaks
San Lorenzo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Independiente have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading San Lorenzo well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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San LorenzoIndependiente