Independiente vs San Lorenzo 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Independiente vs San Lorenzo — Liga Profesional de Fútbol Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 9 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
42.9% implied
San Lorenzo33.3%9/27-22.4%Below implied probability
Independiente29.6%8/27-31%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
San Lorenzo66.7%18/27+22.4%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente40.7%11/27-25.3%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
San Lorenzo85.2%23/27+58.1%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente63%17/27+16.9%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59% implied
San Lorenzo88.9%24/27+50.7%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente81.5%22/27+38.1%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
San Lorenzo55.6%15/27+47.9%Strongly above implied probabilityIndependiente55.6%15/27+47.9%Strongly above implied probabilitySan Lorenzo5/27Independiente2/27Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Independiente and San Lorenzo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for San Lorenzo hit at 85% accuracy — that's 58.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Independiente sit 31% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Independiente vs San Lorenzo 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Independiente vs San Lorenzo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Independiente1
San Lorenzo1Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Independiente1San Lorenzo1Winner
1 51%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 73% | 27% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
| 48% | 52% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-X
21%
X-1
19%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Independiente vs San Lorenzo — Prediction Form & Streaks
Independiente have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. San Lorenzo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading San Lorenzo well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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IndependienteSan Lorenzo