UEFA Nations League Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming UEFA Nations League match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 29 September 2026.
UEFA Nations League Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in UEFA Nations League this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
Home wins
42 matches
28.6%
Draws
42 matches
23.8%
Away wins
42 matches
47.6%
Over 2.5 goals
42 matches
45.2%
Both teams scored
42 matches
47.6%
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Over 3.5 goals
42 matches
21.4%
Home side ahead at half-time
42 matches
26.2%
Level at half-time
42 matches
47.6%
Away side ahead at half-time
42 matches
26.2%
Home team scored 2+
42 matches
31.0%
Away team scored 2+
42 matches
38.1%
Outside the normal range this season: Home wins 28.6% vs 42.6% expected; Away wins 47.6% vs 32.8% expected. By chance alone, a gap like this happens about once in 20 seasons.
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
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| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 42 | 28.6% | 42.6% | −14.0 | ±13.7 | Fewer than expected |
| Home wins | 30 days | 42 | 28.6% | 42.6% | −14.0 | ±13.7 | Fewer than expected |
| Draws | Season | 42 | 23.8% | 24.6% | −0.8 | ±12.9 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 42 | 23.8% | 24.6% | −0.8 | ±12.9 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 42 | 47.6% | 32.8% | +14.8 | ±12.9 | More than expected |
| Away wins | 30 days | 42 | 47.6% | 32.8% | +14.8 | ±12.9 | More than expected |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 42 | 45.2% | 50.2% | −4.9 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 42 | 45.2% | 50.2% | −4.9 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 42 | 47.6% | 48.5% | −0.9 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 42 | 47.6% | 48.5% | −0.9 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 42 | 21.4% | 29.6% | −8.2 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 42 | 21.4% | 29.6% | −8.2 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 42 | 26.2% | 32.2% | −6.0 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 42 | 26.2% | 32.2% | −6.0 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 42 | 47.6% | 41.2% | +6.4 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 42 | 47.6% | 41.2% | +6.4 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 42 | 26.2% | 26.6% | −0.4 | ±12.7 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 42 | 26.2% | 26.6% | −0.4 | ±12.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 42 | 31.0% | 41.5% | −10.5 | ±13.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 42 | 31.0% | 41.5% | −10.5 | ±13.9 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 42 | 38.1% | 33.7% | +4.4 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 42 | 38.1% | 33.7% | +4.4 | ±13.4 | Normal range |
Today's Betting Tips for UEFA Nations League
Moldova1
Faroe Islands1Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Moldova1Faroe Islands1Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 41% | 59% | 72% | 28% |
 | 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 62% | 38% |
Correct Score
0-1
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
Finland0
Belarus0Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Finland0Belarus0Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Spain4
Croatia1Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Spain4Croatia1Winner
1 62%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Czech Republic0
England2Winner
2 65%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Czech Republic0England2Winner
2 65%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
0-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Slovenia2
North Macedonia0Winner
1X 79%
BTTS**
No 64%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Slovenia2North Macedonia0Winner
1X 79%
BTTS**
No 64%
Correct Score
1-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Scotland0
Switzerland3Winner
2 60%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Scotland0Switzerland3Winner
2 60%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Luxembourg0
Iceland3Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Luxembourg0Iceland3Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Bulgaria0
Estonia0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bulgaria0Estonia0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Slovakia2
Kazakhstan1Winner
1 73%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Slovakia2Kazakhstan1Winner
1 73%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
San Marino0
Albania3Winner
2 76%
BTTS**
No 66%
Correct Score
0-2 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
San Marino0Albania3Winner
2 76%
BTTS**
No 66%
Correct Score
0-2 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Azerbaijan–
Liechtenstein–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 62%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Azerbaijan–Liechtenstein–Winner
1 75%
BTTS**
No 62%
Correct Score
2-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Wales–
Norway–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Wales–Norway–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Denmark–
Portugal–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Denmark–Portugal–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Greece–
Netherlands–Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Greece–Netherlands–Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Germany–
Serbia–Winner
1 77%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
3-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Germany–Serbia–Winner
1 77%
BTTS**
No 60%
Correct Score
3-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Republic of Ireland–
Austria–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Republic of Ireland–Austria–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Israel–
Kosovo–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Israel–Kosovo–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Malta–
Gibraltar–Winner
1 73%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Malta–Gibraltar–Winner
1 73%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
2-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Kazakhstan–Moldova–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Kazakhstan–Moldova–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Latvia–
Montenegro–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Latvia–Montenegro–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Cyprus–
Armenia–Winner
1 59%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Cyprus–Armenia–Winner
1 59%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
France–
Italy–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
France–Italy–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Belgium–
Turkey–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Belgium–Turkey–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Poland–
Romania–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Poland–Romania–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Bosnia and Herzegovina–
Sweden–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Bosnia and Herzegovina–Sweden–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Ukraine–
Northern Ireland–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Ukraine–Northern Ireland–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Hungary–
Georgia–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Hungary–Georgia–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Faroe Islands–Slovakia–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Faroe Islands–Slovakia–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Finland–Albania–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Finland–Albania–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Croatia–England–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Croatia–England–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Iceland–Bulgaria–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Iceland–Bulgaria–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Estonia–Luxembourg–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Estonia–Luxembourg–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Belarus–San Marino–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Belarus–San Marino–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Azerbaijan–
Lithuania–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Azerbaijan–Lithuania–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Kosovo–Austria–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Kosovo–Austria–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
UEFA Nations League Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
Group 1
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Malta | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | W |
2  Gibraltar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | D |
3  Andorra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | D L |
About UEFA Nations League
The UEFA Nations League is a dynamic and innovative competition designed to elevate the quality and excitement of international football in Europe. Bringing together all 55 UEFA member nations, the league is structured into divisions based on team rankings, ensuring more balanced and competitive matchups. Teams compete not only for the honor of winning their league but also for promotion to higher divisions and the chance to qualify for major tournaments like the UEFA European Championship and the FIFA World Cup. With its promotion and relegation system, the UEFA Nations League adds a new level of intensity to international football, making every match matter as nations strive to rise through the ranks and claim European football supremacy.