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UEFA Nations League Predictions & Stats

Name: UEFA Nations League Results vs the Closing Odds
Creator: MyGameOdds

Free AI predictions for every upcoming UEFA Nations League match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 22 October 2026.

UEFA Nations League Predictions by Market

Full-Time Result

48%

Both Teams To Score

58%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

74%

First Half Result

41%

Correct Score

UEFA Nations League current prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 48%, BTTS 58%, Over/Under 2.5 56%, Over/Under 3.5 74%, correct score 8%.

UEFA Nations League stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 74 matches

Goals a match

2.43

xG a match

2.71

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

8.35

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

3.99

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 0 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

No upcoming football predictions for UEFA Nations League

There are currently no upcoming matches scheduled in the UEFA Nations League. Our football predictions for this league will resume as soon as new fixtures are available. Check back shortly for the latest match forecasts and betting insights.

UEFA Nations League Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in UEFA Nations League this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days

Result · happened

◀ fewer −15◀ fewer than expected · −15 pts odds expected+15 more ▶+15 pts · more than expected ▶

Verdict

Home wins

70 matches

30.0%

of matches · odds said 43.5%

30 days: 30.0% vs 43.5% (70)

Season (70) · 30.0% vs 43.5%Fewer than expected

Season

−13.5

±10.4Fewer than expected

30 days (70) · 30.0% vs 43.5%Fewer than expected

30 days

−13.5

±10.4Fewer than expected

Draws

70 matches

30.0%

of matches · odds said 23.7%

30 days: 30.0% vs 23.7% (70)

Season (70) · 30.0% vs 23.7%Normal range

Season

+6.3

±9.8Normal range

30 days (70) · 30.0% vs 23.7%Normal range

30 days

+6.3

±9.8Normal range

Away wins

70 matches

40.0%

of matches · odds said 32.8%

30 days: 40.0% vs 32.8% (70)

Season (70) · 40.0% vs 32.8%Normal range

Season

+7.2

±9.8Normal range

30 days (70) · 40.0% vs 32.8%Normal range

30 days

+7.2

±9.8Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

70 matches

47.1%

of matches · odds said 50.7%

30 days: 47.1% vs 50.7% (70)

Season (70) · 47.1% vs 50.7%Normal range

Season

−3.6

±11.4Normal range

30 days (70) · 47.1% vs 50.7%Normal range

30 days

−3.6

±11.4Normal range

Both teams scored

70 matches

47.1%

of matches · odds said 47.7%

30 days: 47.1% vs 47.7% (70)

Season (70) · 47.1% vs 47.7%Normal range

Season

−0.6

±11.4Normal range

30 days (70) · 47.1% vs 47.7%Normal range

30 days

−0.6

±11.4Normal range

Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

70 matches

20.0%

of matches · odds said 30.0%

30 days: 20.0% vs 30.0% (70)

Season (70) · 20.0% vs 30.0%Normal range

Season

−10.0

±10.4Normal range

30 days (70) · 20.0% vs 30.0%Normal range

30 days

−10.0

±10.4Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

70 matches

27.1%

of matches · odds said 33.0%

30 days: 27.1% vs 33.0% (70)

Season (70) · 27.1% vs 33.0%Normal range

Season

−5.9

±10.4Normal range

30 days (70) · 27.1% vs 33.0%Normal range

30 days

−5.9

±10.4Normal range

Level at half-time

70 matches

44.3%

of matches · odds said 40.7%

30 days: 44.3% vs 40.7% (70)

Season (70) · 44.3% vs 40.7%Normal range

Season

+3.6

±11.4Normal range

30 days (70) · 44.3% vs 40.7%Normal range

30 days

+3.6

±11.4Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

70 matches

28.6%

of matches · odds said 26.3%

30 days: 28.6% vs 26.3% (70)

Season (70) · 28.6% vs 26.3%Normal range

Season

+2.3

±9.7Normal range

30 days (70) · 28.6% vs 26.3%Normal range

30 days

+2.3

±9.7Normal range

Home team scored 2+

70 matches

34.3%

of matches · odds said 42.0%

30 days: 34.3% vs 42.0% (70)

Season (70) · 34.3% vs 42.0%Normal range

Season

−7.7

±10.7Normal range

30 days (70) · 34.3% vs 42.0%Normal range

30 days

−7.7

±10.7Normal range

Away team scored 2+

70 matches

37.1%

of matches · odds said 33.7%

30 days: 37.1% vs 33.7% (70)

Season (70) · 37.1% vs 33.7%Normal range

Season

+3.4

±10.3Normal range

30 days (70) · 37.1% vs 33.7%Normal range

30 days

+3.4

±10.3Normal range

Outside the normal range this season: Home wins 30.0% vs 43.5% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 95).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table

UEFA Nations League, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
Result	Period	Matches	Happened	Odds expected	Gap (pts)	Normal range (± pts)	Verdict
Home wins	Season	70	30.0%	43.5%	−13.5	±10.4	Fewer than expected
Home wins	30 days	70	30.0%	43.5%	−13.5	±10.4	Fewer than expected
Draws	Season	70	30.0%	23.7%	+6.3	±9.8	Normal range
Draws	30 days	70	30.0%	23.7%	+6.3	±9.8	Normal range
Away wins	Season	70	40.0%	32.8%	+7.2	±9.8	Normal range
Away wins	30 days	70	40.0%	32.8%	+7.2	±9.8	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	Season	70	47.1%	50.7%	−3.6	±11.4	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	30 days	70	47.1%	50.7%	−3.6	±11.4	Normal range
Both teams scored	Season	70	47.1%	47.7%	−0.6	±11.4	Normal range
Both teams scored	30 days	70	47.1%	47.7%	−0.6	±11.4	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	Season	70	20.0%	30.0%	−10.0	±10.4	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	30 days	70	20.0%	30.0%	−10.0	±10.4	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	Season	70	27.1%	33.0%	−5.9	±10.4	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	30 days	70	27.1%	33.0%	−5.9	±10.4	Normal range
Level at half-time	Season	70	44.3%	40.7%	+3.6	±11.4	Normal range
Level at half-time	30 days	70	44.3%	40.7%	+3.6	±11.4	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	Season	70	28.6%	26.3%	+2.3	±9.7	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	30 days	70	28.6%	26.3%	+2.3	±9.7	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	Season	70	34.3%	42.0%	−7.7	±10.7	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	30 days	70	34.3%	42.0%	−7.7	±10.7	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	Season	70	37.1%	33.7%	+3.4	±10.3	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	30 days	70	37.1%	33.7%	+3.4	±10.3	Normal range

UEFA Nations League Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

Group 1

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Malta	2	4	1	1	0	3:2	+1	D W
2 Gibraltar	2	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	D D
3 Andorra	2	1	0	1	1	1:2	-1	D L

Promotion

Play-offs

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

About UEFA Nations League

The UEFA Nations League is a dynamic and innovative competition designed to elevate the quality and excitement of international football in Europe. Bringing together all 55 UEFA member nations, the league is structured into divisions based on team rankings, ensuring more balanced and competitive matchups. Teams compete not only for the honor of winning their league but also for promotion to higher divisions and the chance to qualify for major tournaments like the UEFA European Championship and the FIFA World Cup. With its promotion and relegation system, the UEFA Nations League adds a new level of intensity to international football, making every match matter as nations strive to rise through the ranks and claim European football supremacy.