Leaky
0/10Havelse kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).
Havelse vs Ingolstadt Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Ingolstadt are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Ingolstadt 54% to winHavelse 24%
Havelse vs Ingolstadt score prediction
3. Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.5 goals expected
3.5 goals in total, a little over the 3. Liga average of 3.3.
goals expected
Havelse1.6
Ingolstadt2.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Havelse vs Ingolstadt: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Havelse vs Ingolstadt — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 3. Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Ingolstadt to win
Our model 47%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 62%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 2,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 944 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,195 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Havelse Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Havelse 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Ingolstadt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Ingolstadt 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Havelse vs Ingolstadt — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Havelse vs Ingolstadt. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Havelse–
Ingolstadt–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Havelse–Ingolstadt–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
130%
X23%
247%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 64% | 36% |
| 21% | 79% | 48% | 52% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 74% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
125%
X39%
237%
1st Score
143%
X5%
253%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
X-2
17%
1-1
16%
X-X
12%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Havelse vs Ingolstadt: the stats that stand out
3. Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Havelse: leaky
0/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Havelse vs Ingolstadt: attack vs defence
3. Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 3. Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Havelse: weak attack, weak defence (0.94 xG, 1.83 xGA a game)
- Ingolstadt: weak attack, weak defence (1.19 xG, 1.49 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Havelse vs Ingolstadt form and luck check
3. Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 3. Liga gamesIngolstadt are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- HavelseBookmakers: 24% to win today.+1.6
- IngolstadtBookmakers: 54% to win today.+4.1
Last 5 matches
IngolstadtW
W
W
L
L
HavelseW
D
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Havelse 20th of 20 · Ingolstadt 13th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Havelse vs Ingolstadt: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
3. Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 3. Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Ingolstadt games less often than the 3. Liga average (63%), in Havelse games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Havelse8 of 10
Ingolstadt6 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Havelse8 of 10
Ingolstadt4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Havelse vs Ingolstadt corners, cards and goal times
3. Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameHavelse score early
Havelse
Ingolstadt
3.3
Corners won · league 5.2
4.2
5.0
Corners conceded · league 5.2
6.7
2.7
Cards · league 2.4
2.4
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
1.5
57%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
38%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
15%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
43%
36%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
36%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Ingolstadt1/5
Havelse2/5
Both Teams to Score
Ingolstadt2/5
Havelse4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Ingolstadt4/5
Havelse4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Ingolstadt4/5
Havelse1/5
First Half Result
Ingolstadt4/5
Havelse1/5
Correct Score
Ingolstadt0/5
Havelse0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction