1. Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Riding their luck

Viktoria Köln are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Viktoria Köln 41% to winHoffenheim II 36%

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln score prediction

3. Liga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.4 goals in total, a little over the 3. Liga average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 3. Liga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Köln to win

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 66%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 409 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 34%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Hoffenheim II Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hoffenheim II 0–1 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.

Viktoria Köln Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Köln 0–1 goals

Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 843 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II–
Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln–

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

134%
X24%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT46%54%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hoffenheim II29%71%58%42%
Viktoria Köln23%77%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hoffenheim II81%19%93%7%
Viktoria Köln75%25%89%11%

1st Half

132%
X34%
234%

1st Score

147%
X4%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

21%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

11%

1-X

7%

2-X

6%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

8.5%

2-1

7.3%

2-2

7.3%

0-1

6.0%

1-0

5.5%

0-2

5.2%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.3%

2-3

4.0%

3-1

3.8%

0-0

3.8%

3-2

3.5%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln: the stats that stand out

3. Liga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Viktoria Köln: banker as favourites · Hoffenheim II: fast starters

Banker as favourites
Viktoria Köln5/6

Viktoria Köln won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).

Fast starters
Hoffenheim II7/10

Hoffenheim II scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln: attack vs defence

3. Liga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other 3. Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II: good attack, good defence (1.35 xG, 1.29 xGA a game)
  • Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln: good attack, good defence (1.47 xG, 1.02 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln form and luck check

3. Liga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 3. Liga games

Viktoria Köln are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Hoffenheim II
    Hoffenheim IIBookmakers: 36% to win today.
    +1.7
  • Viktoria Köln
    Viktoria KölnBookmakers: 41% to win today.Clinical · +10 goals
    +5.5

Last 5 matches

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
W
D
D
W
W
2nd in table
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
L
W
L
L
W
8th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Hoffenheim II 15th of 20 · Viktoria Köln 6th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

3. Liga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 3. Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Hoffenheim II and Viktoria Köln games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the 3. Liga average (64%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Hoffenheim II7 of 10
Viktoria Köln8 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Hoffenheim II7 of 10
Viktoria Köln7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 370 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Hoffenheim II vs Viktoria Köln corners, cards and goal times

3. Liga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.2
  • Cards: league 2.4
  • Goals before half-time: league 45%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
2/5
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
5/5

Both Teams to Score

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
4/5
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
4/5
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
2/5
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
2/5

First Half Result

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
0/5
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
1/5

Correct Score

Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln
1/5
Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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