Always on the scoresheet
0/10Newcastle Jets scored in all of their last 10 (league 23% fail to score).
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Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
A-League Men - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur
3.5goals expected · A-League Men average 2.8
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 66%
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur score prediction
A-League Men
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.5 goals expected
3.5 goals in total: more goals than a typical A-League Men game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Newcastle Jets2.0
Macarthur1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · A-League Men
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Newcastle Jets to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 933 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Newcastle Jets Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Newcastle Jets 0–1 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Macarthur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Macarthur 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Newcastle Jets–
Macarthur–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Newcastle Jets–Macarthur–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
141%
X22%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 51% | 49% |
| 27% | 73% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
130%
X38%
232%
1st Score
149%
X4%
247%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
21%
X-1
13%
X-X
13%
X-2
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: the stats that stand out
A-League Men
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Newcastle Jets: always on the scoresheet, always chasing and leaky
0/10Always chasing
6/9Newcastle Jets conceded first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Leaky
1/10Newcastle Jets kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 23%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: attack vs defence
A-League Men
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other A-League Men teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Newcastle Jets: good attack, weak defence (1.65 xG, 1.82 xGA a game)
- Macarthur: good attack, good defence (1.66 xG, 1.52 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur form and luck check
A-League Men
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 A-League Men gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Newcastle JetsBookmakers: 46% to win today. · 9 of 10 games+1.2
- MacarthurBookmakers: 31% to win today.−2.4
Last 5 matches
MacarthurW
Newcastle JetsD
W
D
L
Strength rank: Newcastle Jets 4th of 10 · Macarthur 6th of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
A-League Men
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 A-League Men gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNewcastle Jets and Macarthur games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the A-League Men average (57%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%
Newcastle Jets7 of 10
Macarthur9 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Newcastle Jets9 of 10
Macarthur7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 162 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur corners, cards and goal times
A-League Men
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNewcastle Jets: last 9 with these statsMacarthur score early, Newcastle Jets late
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
5.0
Corners won · league 5.1
5.3
5.1
Corners conceded · league 5.1
4.9
1.1
Cards · league 1.9
2.4
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.4
47%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
60%
35%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
20%
54%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
36%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Newcastle Jets0/1
Macarthur1/1
Both Teams to Score
Newcastle Jets1/1
Macarthur1/1
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Newcastle Jets1/1
Macarthur1/1
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Newcastle Jets0/1
Macarthur1/1
First Half Result
Newcastle Jets0/1
Macarthur0/1
Correct Score
Newcastle Jets0/1
Macarthur0/1
correct predictionwrong prediction