Ried vs LASK Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in Ried vs LASK Linz

3.2goals expected · Admiral Bundesliga average 2.9

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 68%

Ried vs LASK Linz score prediction

Admiral Bundesliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.2 goals expected

3.2 goals in total: more goals than a typical Admiral Bundesliga game (average 2.9).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Ried vs LASK Linz: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Ried vs LASK Linz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

LASK Linz to win

Our model 51%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 39%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

Ried Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried 0–1 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

LASK Linz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

LASK Linz 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Ried vs LASK Linz — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ried vs LASK Linz. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

RiedRied–
LASK LinzLASK Linz–

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

127%
X23%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ried36%64%66%34%
LASK Linz19%81%45%55%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ried86%14%96%4%
LASK Linz71%29%87%13%

1st Half

123%
X38%
238%

1st Score

141%
X4%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

1-2

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.7%

1-2

9.3%

0-1

7.4%

0-2

7.0%

2-1

6.6%

2-2

6.3%

1-3

5.7%

1-0

5.3%

0-3

4.3%

0-0

4.3%

2-3

3.9%

2-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ried vs LASK Linz: the stats that stand out

Admiral Bundesliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Ried: always on the scoresheet and leaky

Always on the scoresheet
Ried0/10

Ried scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).

Leaky
Ried1/10

Ried kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Ried vs LASK Linz: attack vs defence

Admiral Bundesliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Admiral Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • RiedRied: good attack, weak defence (1.73 xG, 1.93 xGA a game)
  • LASK LinzLASK Linz: good attack, good defence (2.08 xG, 1.01 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Ried vs LASK Linz form and luck check

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Admiral Bundesliga games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Ried
    RiedBookmakers: 15% to win today.
    +3.2
  • LASK Linz
    LASK LinzBookmakers: 66% to win today.
    −3.4

Last 5 matches

RiedRied
D
D
W
W
W
6th in table
LASK LinzLASK Linz
W
L
W
L
D
3rd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Ried 5th of 12 · LASK Linz 2nd of 12

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Ried vs LASK Linz: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Admiral Bundesliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Ried and LASK Linz games more often than the Admiral Bundesliga average (58%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Ried7 of 10
LASK Linz8 of 10
BTTSleague 58%
Ried9 of 10
LASK Linz6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 193 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Ried vs LASK Linz corners, cards and goal times

Admiral Bundesliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.9
  • Cards: league 2.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 47%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

LASK LinzLASK Linz
3/5
RiedRied
1/5

Both Teams to Score

LASK LinzLASK Linz
3/5
RiedRied
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

LASK LinzLASK Linz
4/5
RiedRied
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

LASK LinzLASK Linz
2/5
RiedRied
2/5

First Half Result

LASK LinzLASK Linz
3/5
RiedRied
2/5

Correct Score

LASK LinzLASK Linz
0/5
RiedRied
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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