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Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC

Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC 5-1 Score & Prediction Review

AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result

Kashiwa Reysol

5–1

Port FC

2.1Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Kashiwa Reysol would usually take 2.2 points and Port FC 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Kashiwa Reysol.

Kashiwa Reysol +0.8 pts vs chancesPort FC −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC stats: how the match was played

AFC Champions League Elite

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kashiwa Reysol had more than twice the shots on target

Kashiwa Reysol

Port FC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Kashiwa Reysol and Port FC ended 5-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Kashiwa Reysol win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Johor Darul Ta'zim – Port FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · AFC Champions League Elite

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashiwa Reysol to win

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Kashiwa Reysol Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Kashiwa Reysol 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 20%

Our track record

In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Port FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Port FC 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

AFC Champions League Elite - Asia

Kashiwa Reysol5

Port FC1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

AFC Champions League Elite - Asia

Kashiwa Reysol5

Port FC1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

141%

X26%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	78%	45%	55%	57%	43%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	78%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	57%	43%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	32%	68%	63%	37%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	57%	43%
	32%	68%	63%	37%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

129%

X41%

231%

1st Score

148%

X7%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

1-1

20%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

2-1

8.6%

1-0

8.5%

1-2

7.5%

0-1

7.4%

0-0

6.6%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

6.0%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.7%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Kashiwa Reysol

1/2

Port FC

1/2

Both Teams to Score

Kashiwa Reysol

2/2

Port FC

2/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Kashiwa Reysol

2/2

Port FC

2/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Kashiwa Reysol

1/2

Port FC

1/2

First Half Result

Kashiwa Reysol

0/2

Port FC

1/2

Correct Score

Kashiwa Reysol

0/2

Port FC

0/2

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Johor Darul Ta'zim – Port FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).