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Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Botola Pro - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result

Ittihad Tanger

2–1

Maghreb Fès

0.9Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Ittihad Tanger would usually take 1.3 points and Maghreb Fès 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Maghreb Fès.

Ittihad Tanger +1.7 pts vs chancesMaghreb Fès −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès stats: how the match was played

Botola Pro

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Ittihad Tanger had more than twice the shots on target

Ittihad Tanger

Maghreb Fès

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Maghreb Fès win at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FAR Rabat – Ittihad Tanger prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Botola Pro

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Maghreb Fès to win

Wrong

Our model 35%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 83%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Ittihad Tanger Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ittihad Tanger 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,584 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Maghreb Fès Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Maghreb Fès 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Botola Pro - Morocco

Ittihad Tanger2

Maghreb Fès1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

· FT

Botola Pro - Morocco

Ittihad Tanger2

Maghreb Fès1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

132%

X32%

235%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	38%	62%	66%	34%	73%	27%	92%	8%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	38%	62%	66%	34%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	73%	27%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	38%	62%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	36%	64%	71%	29%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	73%	27%
	36%	64%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

123%

X52%

225%

1st Score

139%

X13%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

26%

2-2

18%

1-1

16%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.0%

0-0

13.4%

0-1

12.7%

1-0

12.3%

1-2

7.1%

0-2

6.7%

2-1

6.6%

2-0

6.3%

2-2

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès — Recent Form

Ittihad Tanger have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Maghreb Fès have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Ittihad Tanger

Maghreb Fès

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Ittihad Tanger

1/4

Maghreb Fès

1/4

Both Teams to Score

Ittihad Tanger

0/4

Maghreb Fès

1/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Ittihad Tanger

1/4

Maghreb Fès

1/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Ittihad Tanger

3/4

Maghreb Fès

4/4

First Half Result

Ittihad Tanger

1/4

Maghreb Fès

2/4

Correct Score

Ittihad Tanger

1/4

Maghreb Fès

0/4

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FAR Rabat – Ittihad Tanger prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).