1. Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Riding their luck

Hertha BSC are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+10points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. DSC Arminia Bielefeld are the other way round, behind their chances: about −4 points.

Bookmakers: Hertha BSC 53% to winDSC Arminia Bielefeld 23%

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld score prediction

2. Bundesliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Hertha BSC expected to create clearly more

3.1 goals in total, a little over the 2. Bundesliga average of 3.0.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 57%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 39%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Hertha BSC Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC 0–1 goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

DSC Arminia Bielefeld Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Hertha BSCHertha BSC–
DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld–

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

145%
X24%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hertha BSC23%77%54%46%
DSC Arminia Bielefeld34%66%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hertha BSC79%21%92%8%
DSC Arminia Bielefeld87%13%96%4%

1st Half

132%
X39%
229%

1st Score

149%
X6%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

21%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

8.8%

1-2

7.6%

2-0

7.4%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

5.7%

0-0

5.7%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

4.3%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld: the stats that stand out

2. Bundesliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Hertha BSC: banker as favourites and hard to break

Banker as favourites
Hertha BSC7/8

Hertha BSC won 7 of 8 as favourites (league 49%).

Hard to break
Hertha BSC2/10

Hertha BSC conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld: attack vs defence

2. Bundesliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other 2. Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Hertha BSCHertha BSC: good attack, weak defence (1.87 xG, 1.69 xGA a game)
  • DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld: good attack, good defence (1.68 xG, 1.40 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld form and luck check

2. Bundesliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 2. Bundesliga games

Hertha BSC riding their luck, DSC Arminia Bielefeld unlucky

  • Hertha BSC
    Hertha BSCBookmakers: 53% to win today.
    +9.5
  • DSC Arminia Bielefeld
    DSC Arminia BielefeldBookmakers: 23% to win today.
    −4.2

Last 5 matches

Hertha BSCHertha BSC
D
W
W
W
W
1st in table
DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
W
D
L
D
L
10th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Hertha BSC 2nd of 18 · DSC Arminia Bielefeld 7th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

2. Bundesliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 2. Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Hertha BSC and DSC Arminia Bielefeld games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the 2. Bundesliga average (58%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
Hertha BSC8 of 10
DSC Arminia Bielefeld7 of 10
BTTSleague 61%
Hertha BSC8 of 10
DSC Arminia Bielefeld7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 301 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Hertha BSC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld corners, cards and goal times

2. Bundesliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

DSC Arminia Bielefeld score late

Hertha BSC

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

4.9

Corners won · league 5.2

6.4

7.0

Corners conceded · league 5.2

4.8

2.6

Cards · league 2.3

1.7

1.9

Opponents' cards · league 2.3

2.6

41%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

28%

27%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

33%

27%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

69%

40%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

19%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
2/5
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
3/5

Both Teams to Score

DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
4/5
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
4/5
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
2/5
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
4/5

First Half Result

DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
1/5
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
0/5

Correct Score

DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld
0/5
Hertha BSCHertha BSC
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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