Fast starters
6/8Energie Cottbus scored first in 6 of their last 8 (league 47%).
- Home
- FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus
FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus
3.8goals expected · 2. Bundesliga average 3.0
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 71%
Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus score prediction
2. Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.8 goals expected
3.8 goals in total: more goals than a typical 2. Bundesliga game (average 3.0).
goals expected
Heidenheim2.3Energie Cottbus1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 2. Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Heidenheim to win
Our model 47%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 65%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 36%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Heidenheim Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Heidenheim 2+ goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Energie Cottbus Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Energie Cottbus 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Heidenheim–
Energie Cottbus–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Heidenheim–Energie Cottbus–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
146%
X23%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 47% | 53% |
| 31% | 69% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 89% | 11% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
135%
X36%
229%
1st Score
155%
X4%
240%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
20%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: the stats that stand out
2. Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Energie Cottbus: fast starters · Heidenheim: brick wall
6/8Brick wall
3/8Heidenheim kept 3 clean sheets in their last 8 (league 22%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: attack vs defence
2. Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 2. Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Heidenheim: good attack, weak defence (1.92 xG, 1.69 xGA a game)
- Energie Cottbus: good attack, weak defence (1.80 xG, 2.13 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus form and luck check
2. Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 2. Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- HeidenheimBookmakers: 58% to win today. · 8 of 10 games+1.9
- Energie CottbusBookmakers: 22% to win today. · 8 of 10 games+0.3
Last 5 matches
HeidenheimL
D
D
W
W
Energie CottbusD
L
D
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Heidenheim 8th of 18 · Energie Cottbus 15th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
2. Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent 2. Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredHeidenheim and Energie Cottbus games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the 2. Bundesliga average (58%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
Heidenheim5 of 8
Energie Cottbus6 of 8
BTTSleague 61%
Heidenheim5 of 8
Energie Cottbus6 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 301 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus corners, cards and goal times
2. Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameHeidenheim: last 8 with these statsEnergie Cottbus: last 8 with these statsHeidenheim score late
Heidenheim
Energie Cottbus
5.3
Corners won · league 5.2
7.1
7.0
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.8
1.5
Cards · league 2.3
2.3
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.4
47%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
38%
40%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
19%
60%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
47%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
41%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Heidenheim3/5
Energie Cottbus1/5
Both Teams to Score
Heidenheim2/5
Energie Cottbus4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Heidenheim2/5
Energie Cottbus3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Heidenheim3/5
Energie Cottbus3/5
First Half Result
Heidenheim3/5
Energie Cottbus1/5
Correct Score
Heidenheim0/5
Energie Cottbus2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction