Always chasing
7/10SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
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Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Always chasing
SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
7/10Conceded first · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Bookmakers: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 30% to winOsnabrück 46%
Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth score prediction
2. Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.1 goals in total, a little over the 2. Bundesliga average of 3.0.
goals expected
Osnabrück1.8SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 2. Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Osnabrück to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.3% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 5,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,992 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Osnabrück Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Osnabrück 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Osnabrück–
SpVgg Greuther Fürth–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Osnabrück–SpVgg Greuther Fürth–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
138%
X25%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 60% | 40% |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
130%
X42%
228%
1st Score
149%
X6%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
20%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the stats that stand out
2. Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%SpVgg Greuther Fürth: always chasing and always on the scoresheet
7/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10SpVgg Greuther Fürth failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 23%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: attack vs defence
2. Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 2. Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Osnabrück: weak attack, weak defence (1.51 xG, 1.83 xGA a game)
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth: good attack, good defence (1.77 xG, 1.57 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth form and luck check
2. Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 2. Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- OsnabrückBookmakers: 46% to win today. · 8 of 10 games−0.6
- SpVgg Greuther FürthBookmakers: 30% to win today.−2.0
Last 5 matches
SpVgg Greuther FürthW
L
D
D
L
OsnabrückL
D
D
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Osnabrück 15th of 18 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
2. Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent 2. Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Osnabrück and SpVgg Greuther Fürth games more often than the 2. Bundesliga average (60%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%
Osnabrück5 of 8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Osnabrück6 of 8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 301 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners, cards and goal times
2. Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameOsnabrück: last 8 with these statsOsnabrück score late
Osnabrück
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.0
Corners won · league 5.2
6.8
7.0
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.1
2.4
Cards · league 2.2
1.3
2.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.2
2.2
36%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
50%
45%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
19%
53%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
40%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3/5
Osnabrück2/5
Both Teams to Score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth3/5
Osnabrück5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1/5
Osnabrück3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth5/5
Osnabrück3/5
First Half Result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth0/5
Osnabrück2/5
Correct Score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1/5
Osnabrück2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction