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Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg

Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Dynamo Dresden

2–0

Magdeburg

2.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Dynamo Dresden would usually take 1.9 points and Magdeburg 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Dynamo Dresden.

Dynamo Dresden +1.1 pts vs chancesMagdeburg −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dynamo Dresden had clearly more shots on target

Dynamo Dresden

Magdeburg

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Dynamo Dresden and Magdeburg ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Magdeburg win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magdeburg to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dynamo Dresden to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magdeburg ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).

Dynamo Dresden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dynamo Dresden 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Magdeburg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magdeburg 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Magdeburg 0–1 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Dynamo Dresden2

Magdeburg0

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Dynamo Dresden2

Magdeburg0

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

132%

X22%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	14%	86%	33%	67%	45%	55%	71%	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	14%	86%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	71%	29%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	30%	70%	59%	41%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	21%	79%	47%	53%	72%	28%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	59%	41%
	21%	79%	47%	53%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	72%	28%	88%	12%

1st Half

127%

X37%

237%

1st Score

141%

X3%

256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

1-1

17%

X-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.2%

1-2

9.1%

2-1

7.2%

2-2

7.0%

0-1

6.1%

0-2

5.5%

1-3

5.3%

1-0

4.8%

2-3

4.1%

3-1

3.8%

2-0

3.8%

0-3

3.5%

3-2

3.5%

0-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg — Recent Form

Magdeburg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Dynamo Dresden have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Magdeburg

Dynamo Dresden

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Magdeburg

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Dynamo Dresden

4/5

Magdeburg

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Dynamo Dresden

3/5

Magdeburg

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Dynamo Dresden

4/5

Magdeburg

5/5

First Half Result

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Magdeburg

0/5

Correct Score

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Magdeburg

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).