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FC Köln vs Schalke 04 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
FC Köln drew despite more chances
0–0
On these chances FC Köln would usually take 2.0 points and Schalke 04 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Köln.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Köln vs Schalke 04 stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Köln had more than twice the shots on target
FC Köln
Schalke 04
5
Shots on target
1
2
Big chances
0
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
3
63%
Possession
37%
FC Köln vs Schalke 04 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Schalke 04 to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Köln to win.
Our track record
In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,725 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,344 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,405 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
FC Köln 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Köln 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 388 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Schalke 04 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Köln vs Schalke 04 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Köln vs Schalke 04. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
X2 64%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Winner
X2 64%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 61% | 39% | |
| 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% | |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
22%
X-X
14%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Köln vs Schalke 04 — Recent Form
FC Köln have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Schalke 04 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score