1. FC Köln vs Schalke 04

FC Köln vs Schalke 04 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Robbed

FC Köln drew despite more chances

FC KölnFC Köln

0–0

Schalke 04Schalke 04
1.5Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances FC Köln would usually take 2.0 points and Schalke 04 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Köln.

FC Köln −1.0 pts vs chancesSchalke 04 +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Köln vs Schalke 04 stats: how the match was played

Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

FC Köln had more than twice the shots on target

FC Köln

Schalke 04

5

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

0

6

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

3

63%

Possession

37%

The match between FC Köln and Schalke 04 ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Schalke 04 win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

FC Köln vs Schalke 04 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Schalke 04 to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Köln to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,725 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,344 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,405 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

FC Köln Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Köln 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Köln 2+ goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 388 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Schalke 04 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Schalke 04 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Köln vs Schalke 04 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Köln vs Schalke 04. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
FC KölnFC Köln0
Schalke 04Schalke 040

Winner

X2 64%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

135%
X24%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FC Köln30%70%61%39%
Schalke 0426%74%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FC Köln83%17%94%6%
Schalke 0479%21%92%8%

1st Half

130%
X39%
232%

1st Score

148%
X5%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

22%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-2

8.2%

0-1

7.8%

2-1

7.7%

1-0

7.2%

2-2

6.1%

0-2

6.0%

0-0

5.3%

2-0

5.1%

1-3

4.3%

3-1

3.8%

2-3

3.3%

3-2

3.3%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Köln vs Schalke 04 — Recent Form

FC Köln have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Schalke 04 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

FC KölnFC Köln
D
L
W
L
D
Schalke 04Schalke 04
D
L
L
D
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Schalke 04Schalke 04
3/5
FC KölnFC Köln
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Schalke 04Schalke 04
2/5
FC KölnFC Köln
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Schalke 04Schalke 04
2/5
FC KölnFC Köln
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Schalke 04Schalke 04
4/5
FC KölnFC Köln
5/5

First Half Result

Schalke 04Schalke 04
4/5
FC KölnFC Köln
2/5

Correct Score

Schalke 04Schalke 04
0/5
FC KölnFC Köln
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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