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RB Leipzig vs Elversberg

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

RB Leipzig

4–0

Elversberg

1.5Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances RB Leipzig would usually take 2.1 points and Elversberg 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig +0.9 pts vs chancesElversberg −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg stats: how the match was played

Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

RB Leipzig had more than twice the shots on target

RB Leipzig

Elversberg

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between RB Leipzig and Elversberg ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a RB Leipzig win with 62% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Elversberg – FSV Mainz 05 prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

RB Leipzig to win

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,092 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.2% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

RB Leipzig ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

RB Leipzig Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

RB Leipzig 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Elversberg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Elversberg 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for RB Leipzig vs Elversberg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Bundesliga - Germany

RB Leipzig4

Elversberg0

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

· FT

Bundesliga - Germany

RB Leipzig4

Elversberg0

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

162%

X21%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%	50%	50%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	50%	50%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	39%	61%	65%	35%	82%	18%
	48%	52%	77%	23%	92%	8%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	39%	61%
	48%	52%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	65%	35%	82%	18%
	92%	8%	97%	3%

1st Half

148%

X34%

218%

1st Score

161%

X5%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

17%

X-X

11%

2-2

10%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.7%

2-0

9.2%

1-1

8.6%

3-0

6.5%

3-1

6.1%

2-2

5.3%

0-0

5.1%

1-2

4.2%

0-1

4.2%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg — Recent Form

RB Leipzig have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Elversberg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

RB Leipzig

Elversberg

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

RB Leipzig

4/5

Elversberg

3/5

Both Teams to Score

RB Leipzig

2/5

Elversberg

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

RB Leipzig

4/5

Elversberg

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

RB Leipzig

2/5

Elversberg

3/5

First Half Result

RB Leipzig

4/5

Elversberg

2/5

Correct Score

RB Leipzig

0/5

Elversberg

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Elversberg – FSV Mainz 05 prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).