ES Tunis vs Asswehly Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

CAF Champions League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Always chasing

ES Tunis conceded first in 6 of their last 10 (league 43%).

6/10Conceded first · ES Tunis
Bookmakers: ES Tunis 79% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for ES Tunis vs Asswehly: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

ES Tunis vs Asswehly — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · CAF Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ES Tunis to win

Our model 71%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,153 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 68%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,957 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ES Tunis ahead at half-time

Our model 56%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

ES Tunis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

ES Tunis 2+ goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Asswehly Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asswehly 0–1 goals

Our model 87%Bookmakers 89%

Our track record

In 596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

ES Tunis vs Asswehly — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for ES Tunis vs Asswehly. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

ES TunisES Tunis–
AsswehlyAsswehly–

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

171%
X17%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
ES Tunis14%86%38%62%
Asswehly61%39%87%13%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
ES Tunis63%37%80%20%
Asswehly97%3%99%1%

1st Half

156%
X37%
27%

1st Score

179%
X6%
215%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

53%

X-1

22%

X-X

11%

X-2

4%

1-X

3%

2-2

3%

2-1

2%

2-X

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

12.9%

1-0

12.5%

3-0

9.9%

2-1

8.5%

1-1

8.1%

0-0

6.0%

3-1

5.3%

0-1

4.3%

1-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

ES Tunis vs Asswehly: the stats that stand out

CAF Champions League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

ES Tunis: always chasing

Always chasing
ES Tunis6/10

ES Tunis conceded first in 6 of their last 10 (league 43%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

ES Tunis vs Asswehly: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

CAF Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 CAF Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

ES Tunis games go over 2.5 goals less often than the CAF Champions League average (31%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 31%
ES Tunis2 of 10
BTTSleague 36%
ES Tunis3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 62 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

ES Tunis vs Asswehly form and luck check

CAF Champions League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 CAF Champions League games

ES Tunis: results in line with their chances

  • ES Tunis
    ES TunisBookmakers: 79% to win today.
    −2.4

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

ES Tunis vs Asswehly corners, cards and goal times

CAF Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

ES Tunis score late

ES Tunis

Asswehly

4.5

Corners won · league 4.4

–

3.8

Corners conceded · league 4.4

–

1.6

Cards · league 2.0

–

1.9

Opponents' cards · league 2.0

–

10%

Goals before half-time · league 39%

–

50%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

–

50%

Conceded before half-time · league 39%

–

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

–

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

ES TunisES Tunis
0/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
0/1

Both Teams to Score

ES TunisES Tunis
1/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
1/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ES TunisES Tunis
1/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
1/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

ES TunisES Tunis
1/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
1/1

First Half Result

ES TunisES Tunis
0/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
0/1

Correct Score

ES TunisES Tunis
0/1
AsswehlyAsswehly
0/1
correct predictionwrong prediction

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