Brick wall
6/10Vasco da Gama kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 34%).
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Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Brick wall
Vasco da Gama kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 34%).
6/10Clean sheets · Vasco da Gama
Bookmakers: Vasco da Gama 39% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Sudamericana
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Vasco da Gama to win
Our model 48%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Vasco da Gama Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Vasco da Gama 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Boca Juniors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Boca Juniors 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Vasco da Gama–
Boca Juniors–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Vasco da Gama–Boca Juniors–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
148%
X27%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
 | 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
136%
X44%
220%
1st Score
157%
X9%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
18%
X-X
16%
2-2
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors: the stats that stand out
Copa Sudamericana
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Vasco da Gama: brick wall, hard to break and banker as favourites
6/10Hard to break
2/10Vasco da Gama conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Banker as favourites
5/7Vasco da Gama won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 52%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors: attack vs defence
Copa Sudamericana
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Copa Sudamericana teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Vasco da Gama: good attack, good defence (1.76 xG, 1.08 xGA a game)
- Boca Juniors: good attack, good defence (1.54 xG, 1.10 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors form and luck check
Copa Sudamericana
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Copa Sudamericana gamesVasco da Gama: results in line with their chances
- Vasco da GamaBookmakers: 39% to win today.+2.8
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Copa Sudamericana
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Copa Sudamericana gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Vasco da Gama and Boca Juniors games less often than the Copa Sudamericana average (43%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 40%
Vasco da Gama5 of 10
Boca Juniors2 of 7
BTTSleague 43%
Vasco da Gama4 of 10
Boca Juniors2 of 7
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 143 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors corners, cards and goal times
Copa Sudamericana
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoca Juniors: last 6 with these statsGoal times close to the Copa Sudamericana average
Vasco da Gama
Boca Juniors
4.8
Corners won · league 4.6
5.7
5.2
Corners conceded · league 4.6
3.2
2.9
Cards · league 2.4
0.7
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.3
44%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
30%
19%
Goals after 75' · league 20%
10%
43%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
67%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Vasco da Gama1/5
Boca Juniors3/5
Both Teams to Score
Vasco da Gama3/5
Boca Juniors3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Vasco da Gama3/5
Boca Juniors3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Vasco da Gama4/5
Boca Juniors3/5
First Half Result
Vasco da Gama2/5
Boca Juniors2/5
Correct Score
Vasco da Gama0/5
Boca Juniors2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction