Fast starters
8/10Torque scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 45%).
- Home
- Montevideo City Torque vs Atlético Mineiro
Montevideo City Torque vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Riding their luck
Torque are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Torque 34% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Torque vs Atlético Mineiro: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Torque vs Atlético Mineiro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Sudamericana
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Torque to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 34%
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Torque 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Atlético Mineiro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Mineiro 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Torque vs Atlético Mineiro — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Torque vs Atlético Mineiro. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Torque–
Atlético Mineiro–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Torque–Atlético Mineiro–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
142%
X26%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
 | 35% | 65% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
127%
X48%
225%
1st Score
147%
X7%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
2-2
19%
X-X
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Torque vs Atlético Mineiro: the stats that stand out
Copa Sudamericana
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Torque: fast starters · Atlético Mineiro: banker as favourites
8/10Banker as favourites
5/7Atlético Mineiro won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 52%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Torque vs Atlético Mineiro: attack vs defence
Copa Sudamericana
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Copa Sudamericana teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Torque: weak attack, weak defence (1.14 xG, 1.68 xGA a game)
- Atlético Mineiro: weak attack, weak defence (1.18 xG, 1.42 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Torque vs Atlético Mineiro form and luck check
Copa Sudamericana
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Copa Sudamericana gamesTorque are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- TorqueBookmakers: 34% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals+9.4
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Torque vs Atlético Mineiro: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Copa Sudamericana
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Copa Sudamericana gamesBTTS = both teams scoredTorque and Atlético Mineiro games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Copa Sudamericana average (40%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 40%
Torque6 of 10
Atlético Mineiro5 of 10
BTTSleague 43%
Torque4 of 10
Atlético Mineiro4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 143 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Torque vs Atlético Mineiro corners, cards and goal times
Copa Sudamericana
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAtlético Mineiro: last 9 with these statsAtlético Mineiro score late
Torque
Atlético Mineiro
3.9
Corners won · league 4.6
4.0
6.1
Corners conceded · league 4.6
4.8
1.9
Cards · league 2.4
1.7
3.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
1.8
50%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
46%
19%
Goals after 75' · league 20%
31%
64%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
38%
18%
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
38%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético Mineiro3/5
Torque4/5
Both Teams to Score
Atlético Mineiro2/5
Torque2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético Mineiro1/5
Torque2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético Mineiro3/5
Torque5/5
First Half Result
Atlético Mineiro2/5
Torque2/5
Correct Score
Atlético Mineiro0/5
Torque0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction