Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Nürnberg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Nürnberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · DFB Pokal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win
Our track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2+ goals
Our track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Nürnberg 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Nürnberg — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Nürnberg. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen–
Nürnberg–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen–Nürnberg–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 39% | 61% |
 | 39% | 61% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 83% | 17% |
| 88% | 12% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
16%
2-2
15%
X-X
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.4%
1-1
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
5.0%
0-1
4.1%
0-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Nürnberg: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
DFB Pokal
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent DFB Pokal gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Bayer 04 Leverkusen games less often than the DFB Pokal average (46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 63 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NürnbergBayer 04 LeverkusenBoth Teams to Score
NürnbergBayer 04 LeverkusenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NürnbergBayer 04 LeverkusenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NürnbergBayer 04 LeverkusenFirst Half Result
NürnbergBayer 04 LeverkusenCorrect Score
NürnbergBayer 04 Leverkusen