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Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

Excelsior

0–1

Go Ahead Eagles

1.0Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Excelsior would usually take 1.6 points and Go Ahead Eagles 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Go Ahead Eagles.

Excelsior −1.6 pts vs chancesGo Ahead Eagles +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Excelsior

Go Ahead Eagles

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Go Ahead Eagles win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Feyenoord – Excelsior prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles to win

Correct

Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,638 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,784 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,202 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.3% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 4,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,213 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Excelsior Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Excelsior 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 67.5%).

Go Ahead Eagles Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eredivisie - Netherlands

Excelsior0

Go Ahead Eagles1

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Eredivisie - Netherlands

Excelsior0

Go Ahead Eagles1

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

131%

X26%

243%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	45%	55%	57%	43%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	67%	66%	34%	86%	14%	96%	4%
	25%	75%	55%	45%	79%	21%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	67%	66%	34%
	25%	75%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	96%	4%
	79%	21%	92%	8%

1st Half

126%

X36%

238%

1st Score

141%

X7%

252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

1-1

17%

X-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

1-2

9.1%

0-1

8.7%

1-0

8.1%

2-1

7.2%

0-2

6.7%

0-0

6.5%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.3%

0-3

3.4%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles — Recent Form

Go Ahead Eagles have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Excelsior have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Go Ahead Eagles

2/5

Excelsior

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Go Ahead Eagles

4/5

Excelsior

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Go Ahead Eagles

2/5

Excelsior

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Go Ahead Eagles

2/5

Excelsior

2/5

First Half Result

Go Ahead Eagles

1/5

Excelsior

3/5

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eagles

1/5

Excelsior

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Feyenoord – Excelsior prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).