Brick wall
6/10Paphos kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
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Nea Salamis vs Pafos FC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Nea Salamis vs Paphos
2.9goals expected · 1. Division average 2.7
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 56%
Nea Salamis vs Paphos score prediction
1. Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.9 goals expected
2.9 goals in total, a little over the 1. Division average of 2.7.
goals expected
Nea Salamis1.2Paphos1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Nea Salamis vs Paphos: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Nea Salamis vs Paphos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Nea Salamis to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 18%
Our track record
In 1,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,696 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,958 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Nea Salamis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Nea Salamis 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Paphos Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paphos 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Nea Salamis vs Paphos — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Nea Salamis vs Paphos. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Nea Salamis–
Paphos–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Nea Salamis–Paphos–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
138%
X25%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 60% | 40% |
| 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
127%
X42%
231%
1st Score
142%
X6%
252%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
19%
X-X
16%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Nea Salamis vs Paphos: the stats that stand out
1. Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Paphos: brick wall · Nea Salamis: always chasing and always on the scoresheet
6/10Always chasing
5/6Nea Salamis conceded first in 5 of their last 6 (league 47%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/6Nea Salamis scored in all of their last 6 (league 28% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Nea Salamis vs Paphos: attack vs defence
1. Division
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 1. Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Nea Salamis: weak attack, weak defence (0.94 xG, 1.79 xGA a game)
- Paphos: good attack, good defence (1.68 xG, 1.17 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Nea Salamis vs Paphos form and luck check
1. Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Nea SalamisBookmakers: 18% to win today. · 5 of 10 gamesClinical · +4 goals+0.5
- PaphosBookmakers: 59% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −7 goals−2.1
Last 5 matches
PaphosD
W
L
W
D
Nea SalamisL
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Nea Salamis 13th of 14 · Paphos 2nd of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Nea Salamis vs Paphos: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNea Salamis games go over 2.5 goals more often than the 1. Division average (51%), Paphos games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Nea Salamis6 of 6
Paphos3 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Nea Salamis5 of 6
Paphos2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Nea Salamis vs Paphos corners, cards and goal times
1. Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNea Salamis: last 6 with these statsGoal times close to the 1. Division average
Nea Salamis
Paphos
3.7
Corners won · league 4.5
5.5
3.2
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.0
3.3
Cards · league 2.4
2.7
3.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
1.6
45%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
38%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
8%
53%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
29%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
43%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Paphos1/5
Nea Salamis3/5
Both Teams to Score
Paphos1/5
Nea Salamis4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Paphos1/5
Nea Salamis5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Paphos4/5
Nea Salamis3/5
First Half Result
Paphos3/5
Nea Salamis1/5
Correct Score
Paphos0/5
Nea Salamis0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction