1. Pafos FC vs Omonia 29is Maiou

Pafos FC vs Omonia 29is Maiou Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou

3.3goals expected · 1. Division average 2.7

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 68%

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou score prediction

1. Division

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.3 goals expected

3.3 goals in total: more goals than a typical 1. Division game (average 2.7).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. Division

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos to win

Our model 70%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 71.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 55%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos ahead at half-time

Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,259 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.2% of the time (bookmakers said 51.6%).

Paphos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paphos 2+ goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,646 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Omonia 29is Maiou Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia 29is Maiou 0–1 goals

Our model 83%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

PaphosPaphos–
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou–

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

170%
X20%
211%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Paphos10%90%33%67%
Omonia 29is Maiou54%46%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Paphos59%41%79%21%
Omonia 29is Maiou95%5%99%1%

1st Half

152%
X37%
212%

1st Score

173%
X5%
223%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

48%

X-1

21%

X-X

11%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-2

4%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

10.6%

2-1

10.2%

1-0

9.8%

1-1

8.6%

3-0

8.4%

3-1

7.3%

0-0

4.8%

2-2

4.5%

3-2

3.3%

1-2

3.2%

0-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou: the stats that stand out

1. Division

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Paphos: brick wall and hard to break · Omonia 29is Maiou: always on the scoresheet

Brick wall
Paphos6/10

Paphos kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 29%).

Always on the scoresheet
Omonia 29is Maiou0/8

Omonia 29is Maiou scored in all of their last 8 (league 29% fail to score).

Hard to break
Paphos3/10

Paphos conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

1. Division

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Omonia 29is Maiou games go over 2.5 goals more often than the 1. Division average (52%), Paphos games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Paphos4 of 10
Omonia 29is Maiou6 of 8
BTTSleague 49%
Paphos3 of 10
Omonia 29is Maiou5 of 8

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 235 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou form and luck check

1. Division

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division games

Paphos: results in line with their chances

  • Paphos
    PaphosBookmakers: 80% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesWasteful · −5 goals
    −0.7

Last 5 matches

PaphosPaphos
D
D
D
W
L
7th in table
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
W
L
W
L
L
8th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Paphos 2nd of 14 · Omonia 29is Maiou 10th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Paphos vs Omonia 29is Maiou corners, cards and goal times

1. Division

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.6
  • Cards: league 2.4
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 26%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

PaphosPaphos
1/5
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
4/5

Both Teams to Score

PaphosPaphos
2/5
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PaphosPaphos
1/5
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PaphosPaphos
3/5
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
4/5

First Half Result

PaphosPaphos
3/5
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
4/5

Correct Score

PaphosPaphos
0/5
Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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