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Apollon vs Nea Salamis 4-2 Score & Prediction Review
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Apollon vs Nea Salamis stats: how the match was played
1. Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Apollon had more than twice the shots on target
Apollon
Nea Salamis
12
Shots on target
3
5
Corners
2
5
Yellow cards
5
Apollon vs Nea Salamis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 1. Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Apollon to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Apollon ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Apollon 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Apollon 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Nea Salamis 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Apollon vs Nea Salamis 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Apollon vs Nea Salamis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Apollon4
Nea Salamis2Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Apollon4Nea Salamis2Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20% | 80% | 51% | 49% |
 | 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Apollon vs Nea Salamis — Recent Form
Apollon have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Nea Salamis have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
ApollonNea SalamisOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Nea SalamisApollonBoth Teams to Score
Nea SalamisApollonOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Nea SalamisApollonOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Nea SalamisApollonFirst Half Result
Nea SalamisApollonCorrect Score
Nea SalamisApollon